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Exchange rate structural fiscal balance and copper price: a puzzle
Chile’s exchange rate shows a strong volatility to copper price fluctuations. This correlation is essentially because copper is our main export product therefore increases in the price of copper imply higher returns from copper export volumes both for private and the stateowned mining company Codelco. ...
A toolkit for analyzing alternative policies in the chilean economy
As noted by Leeper (1995) “the business pages of leading newspapers give the impression that the effects of alternative monetary policies on the macroeconomy are well understood and predictable.” They tend “to write with great certainty that when the monetary authority raises interest rates it slows ...
Controles de capital y política cambiaria
El análisis empírico de este estudio sugiere que un objetivo de política cambiaria y el temor de un sobrecalentamiento de la economía nacional han sido los dos motivos más importantes para la (re) introducción y persistencia de los controles de capital de la última década. Los controles de capital se ...
Can economic perception surveys improve macroeconomic forecasting in Chile?
Comparamos el momento, la representatividad, los cuestionarios y la agregación de las respuestas de cinco encuestas de percepción económica chilenas en sus proyecciones macroeconómicas, observando las deficiencias de los índices agregados que combinan preguntas con diferente enfoque y perspectiva ...
What drives the current account in commodity exporting countries?: the cases of Chile and New Zealand
As capital markets have become increasingly integrated, savings and investment within countries have tended to become less correlated, in what is known as the Feldstein-Horioka (1980) correlation, with the corollary that savings-investment gaps (that is, current accounts) have tended to become more ...
Política monetaria en el límite cero: la experiencia de Chile
Se analizan los efectos de la Facilidad de Liquidez a Plazo (FLAP), ejecutado por el Banco Central de Chile en respuesta a la crisis financiera de 2008-2009. Encontramos que el anuncio de esta política reduce significativamente los rendimientos nominales en el horizonte de política de dos años. Estos ...
Debt- and equity-led capital flow episodes
Our earlier work has helped to switch the focus of studies of extreme capital flow movements toward the use of data on gross inflows (mainly driven by foreigners) and outflows (mainly driven by domestics) rather than relying on net flows (the sum of the two) (Forbes and Warnock 2012). The old focus ...
Concentración, hold-up e información de las colocaciones bancarias: evidencia de empresas Chilenas
El artículo contiene un estudio empírico de la relación banco-cliente, basado en una muestra de empresas manufactureras Chilenas. En él se analiza si la concentración y la duración de la relación entre deudor y acreedor afectan el volumen de endeudamiento bancario. Los resultados indican que la menor ...
Global imbalances and external adjustment after the crisis
Over five years have passed since the most intense phase of the global financial crisis. As has been widely documented the pre-crisis period was characterized by increased dispersion in current account deficits and surpluses facilitated by a benign global financial environment characterized by low ...
Large hoardings of international reserves: are they worth it?
Several Asian economies have accumulated large stocks of international reserves over the last few years. This motivates the question we address in this paper from an empirical point of view. Are these large increases in reserves an efficient crisis-prevention strategy? Or are they second-best to other ...