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Capital inflows and books in asset prices: evidence from a panel of countries
Policymakers and academics often believe that large capital inflows are associated with booms in asset prices and therefore with a higher risk of financial crisis. The belief is supported by the theoretical works of Krugman (1998) Caballero and Krishnamurthy (2006) Aoki Benigno and Kiyotaki (2009) ...
Inflation targeting in Brazil: shocks, backward-looking prices, and IMF conditionality
In mid-January 1990, Brazil abandoned its crawling exchange rate band. Surprisingly enough, the country's economic performance in the aftermath of this episode was much better than expected, given the performance of other emerging market economies after a move toward floating. Despite the large ...
Securitización de hipotecas y desarrollo económico: un ensayo sobre la Caja Hipotecaria de Chile
Este ensayo recorre los primeros cincuenta años de la Caja de Crédito Hipotecario de Chile desde su creación en 1855. Durante la segunda mitad del siglo XIX, las operaciones crediticias de la Caja activaron la rápida expansión del regadío del Valle Central y posibilitaron el concomitante aumento de ...
Global imbalances and external adjustment after the crisis
Over five years have passed since the most intense phase of the global financial crisis. As has been widely documented the pre-crisis period was characterized by increased dispersion in current account deficits and surpluses facilitated by a benign global financial environment characterized by low ...
Global information spillovers
The amount of information produced in an economy varies over time. Stock prices in particular are informative but their degree of informativeness changes over time. Agents do not produce the same amount of information in every macroeconomic state of the world or in anticipation of every state. Although ...
Sobre el nivel de reservas internacionales de Chile: análisis a partir de enfoques complementarios
Este artículo analiza la evolución y el nivel de reservas internacionales de Chile a partir de metodologías complementarias. En primer lugar, construimos diversos indicadores de reservas internacionales sugeridos por la literatura para un conjunto de países avanzados y emergentes. Segundo, estimamos ...
La demanda residencial de energía eléctrica en Chile
En un contexto energético como el Chileno, con una demanda creciente y una oferta estocástica de energía, es importante conocer los determinantes de la demanda por energía eléctrica de los hogares. En particular, es necesario identificar con precisión su elasticidad precio con el objetivo de poder ...
Predicción del empleo sectorial y total en base a indicadores de confianza empresarial
¿Qué capacidad predictiva tiene el índice mensual de confianza empresarial? En este trabajo evaluamos el IMCE como predictor de la variación en doce meses del empleo total y sectorial. Al concentrarnos únicamente en la relación predictiva que existe entre las variables de empleo y los indicadores IMCE, ...
Fiscal multipliers and policy coordination
This paper is about an economy in a liquidity trap that is an environment with a zero nominal interest rate deflationary pressures and subpar growth. The paper shows two fiscal policy multipliers in a relatively standard New Keynesian liquidity trap economy with taxation costs. It computes real ...
Captial controls and foreign exchange policy
The question of whether capital controls should be part of the tool box for policymakers to deal with capital flows has become one of the central issues in the international economic policy debate. It was one of the key policy issues in the G20 under the French Presidency in 2011 and it has been covered ...