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The effect of uncertainty on monetary policy: how good are the brakes?
In most industrial countries, official interest rate changes tend to be 'smooth'. That is, rates are adjusted relatively infrequently and is small steps. Yet the path of interest rates that emerges as optimal from macroeconomic models is, in general, considerably more volatile. So are the paths of ...
Optimal monetary policy rules when the current account matters
Policymarkers and the academic community have reached an increasing consensus during the last two decades: the primary objective of monetary policy should be to control inflation (see, for example, King, 1999). A less settled issue is the appropriate role of the central bank regarding other, secondary ...
A decadeof inflation targeting in Chile: developments, lessons, and challenges
In the twentieth century, Chile experienced most monetary and exchange rate regimes. Periods of fixed exchange rates usually ended in speculative attacks as a result of inconsistent policies or significant external shocks, generating serious real costs and larger exchange rate volatility.
Medición de la política monetaria y el traspaso (pass-through) en Chile
Primero, este trabajo presenta una revisión de los principales estudios con VAR monetarios en Chile y en el mundo para medir la política monetaria y el traspaso del tipo de cambio a precios (pass-through). Segundo, se estiman tres VAR estructurales con restricciones de corto plazo y un VEC con ...
Macroeconomic and monetary policies from the eductive viewpoint
The quality of the coordination of expectations, a key issue for monetary policy, obtains from different, but interrelated, channels: both the credibility of the central bank intervention and the ability of decentralized agents to coordinate on a dynamical equilibrium matter. For both purposes, it is ...
Monetary policy rules and transmission mechanisms under inflation targeting in Israel
Disinflation in Israel has been a relatively slow process. It took more than a decade for the annual rate of inflation to fall from about 18 percent in the late 1980s to less than 4 percent in the late 1990s. For 2000 and 2001 the government has set an inflation target range of 3 to percent. Whether ...
Optimal monetary policy rules under inflation range targeting
Central banks resort to a variety of alternative arrangements in formulating, conducting, and communicating monetary policy. One increasingly popular type of arrangement is based on a target range for inflation. In this setup the conduct of monetary policy is oriented to keeping inflation withing ...
El miedo a flotar y la política cambiaria en Chile
Este artículo revisa las políticas de manejo cambiario en Chile, poniendo particular énfasis en el régimen de tipo de cambio flotante implementado en 1999 y los dos episodios de intervención cambiaria posteriores a este. Se presenta evidencia de las favorables condiciones existentes en Chile para ...
Elasticidades de precios de productos básicos relevantes para la economía chilena
En este trabajo se estudia el comportamiento de los precios de los dos productos básicos claves para la economía chilena, el cobre y el petróleo, especialmente en el plazo relevante para la toma de decisiones de política monetaria. Para ello, se plantea un modelo estilizado para el comportamiento de ...
The monetary transmission mechanism in Chile: a medium-sized macroeconometric model
The objective in building and specifying macroeconomic models is to reflect the main characteristics of an economy in a stylized way. This article describes a macroeconometric model for the Chilean economy. The aim of the model is to forecast the main macroeconomic variables, along with policy exercises ...