Central banks used to ask, “Shall we communicate this?” Now, as a rule, they ask, “Why wouldn’t we communicate this?” This first wave of the revolution in central-bank communication is giving rise to a second wave. The question increasingly is, “How should we communicate this in a way that engages a ...

The three topics covered in the title of this volume have proved to be critical in the remarkable success of modern central banks around the globe in the fight to control inflation and smooth macroeconomic fluctuations. Despite these achievements, some old challenges have come back in recent years and ...

Before the Global Financial Crisis, a drive towards greater central-bank autonomy and transparency, as part of the achievement of greater central-bank credibility that had begun in the advanced economies (AE), spread to the emerging market economies (EME). This process was greatly enhanced by the ...

For a small open economy, maintaining a stable exchange rate and moderate levels of inflation is often a goal of primary importance. At the same time, the profession has recognized the tight link between fiscal and monetary policies in determining inflation dynamics. Thus, the goal of a stable exchange ...

Monetary policies leave a fiscal footprint. When the central bank cuts the policy interest rate, this footprint comes through multiple channels: The demand for currency rises, so the central bank prints more banknotes to accommodate it, and this creates seignorage revenues. Inflation unexpectedly ...

Historically, many emerging economies, particularly in Latin America, battled against persistently high and volatile inflation. Today, emerging economies continue to experience higher inflation than developed ones, and their central banks deviate more frequently from inflation targets. These patterns ...

Esta publicación contiene información sobre exportaciones e importaciones totales a nivel de país. Comprende dos partes: en la primera, se presenta un análisis del comportamiento global del comercio exterior, algunos estudios especiales sobre sectores de la producción y el intercambio comercial con ...

El año 2021 abrió con múltiples desafíos para el Banco Central, especialmente por las consecuencias del periodo más duro de la pandemia, que continuó alterando el funcionamiento normal de la economía. La crisis sanitaria y su persistencia modificaron sustancialmente las formas de relacionamiento entre ...

This was a complex year for the Central Bank. Inflation vastly exceeded our 3% target, which forced our institution to make drastic monetary policy decisions, as part of a cycle of rate increases that began the previous year. Between January and October, the monetary policy rate (MPR) rose from 4.0% ...

El Banco Central de Chile ha publicado su Memoria Integrada 2020, reporte que detalla los principales hitos financieros, medioambientales, de relación con la comunidad, con sus trabajadores y el aporte que la institución hace al país a través del cumplimiento de su mandato legal, con el foco puesto ...

Esta publicación contiene información sobre exportaciones e importaciones totales a nivel de país. Comprende dos partes: en la primera, se presenta un análisis del comportamiento global del comercio exterior, algunos estudios especiales sobre sectores de la producción y el intercambio comercial con ...

To gauge inflationary pressures, policymakers generally pay close attention to labor cost developments. A key reason has been the widely held view that labor cost inflation (i.e., wage inflation adjusted for productivity developments) is one of the main causes of price inflation. From a theoretical ...

The fortunes of the Phillips curve have ebbed and flowed ever since it was proposed by Phillips (1958). Although its origins are primarily as an empirical regularity, there is now a vast literature that provides more formal justification. In recent times, the Great Moderation and the modern era ...

Understanding the dynamics of inflation has become an important challenge for both policymakers and researchers over the past decade. Empirical models linking inflation and economic activity—versions of the so-called Phillips curve—have failed to account for the behavior of inflation in many ...

The deep and prolonged recession triggered by the global financial crisis of 2007–2009 led to a large increase in the unemployment rate in most advanced economies. Ten years later, at the time of writing this paper, the recession has long ended, and the subsequent recoveries have brought the ...

Empirical models have failed to explain inflation behavior over the last 20 years in most developed economies. The unusual inflation dynamics—the ‘missing deflation’ during recessions and the ‘missing inflation’ during recoveries—points to a failure of Phillips curve predictions. Several hypotheses ...

El Banco Central de Chile busca realizar su gestión con eficiencia, en un marco de creciente transparencia de sus acciones e incorporando de manera permanente la aplicación de criterios y políticas adheridas a las mejores prácticas observadas a nivel mundial. Este documento conforma nuestra primera ...

In recent years, we have not seen much of a negative correlation between inflation, the time series plotted in figure 1, and measures of resource slack, based on real GDP plotted in figure 2. This flattening of the Phillips curve in many countries across the world has startled monetary policymakers. ...

Esta publicación contiene información sobre exportaciones e importaciones totales a nivel de país. Comprende dos partes: en la primera, se presenta un análisis del comportamiento global del comercio exterior, algunos estudios especiales sobre sectores de la producción y el intercambio comercial con ...