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Monetary policy and key unobservables: evidence from large industrial and selected inflation-targeting countries
In recent years, the design of monetary policy has focused on gaps—the output gap, the interest rate gap, and the unemployment rate gap have all played a role in policy discussions. Standard models used for policy analysis are either specified in terms of such gaps or imply important roles for these ...
Changing inflation dynamics, evolving monetary policy
Empirical models have failed to explain inflation behavior over the last 20 years in most developed economies. The unusual inflation dynamics—the ‘missing deflation’ during recessions and the ‘missing inflation’ during recoveries—points to a failure of Phillips curve predictions. Several hypotheses ...
International aspects of the zero lower bound constraint
Large negative aggregate demand shocks can drive down an economy’s equilibrium real interest rate and if the central bank is committed to stabilizing inflation monetary policy may be hampered by the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates –the economy may be in a 'liquidity trap.' The policy dilemma ...
New keynesian models for Chile in the inflation-targeting period
Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models with nominal rigidities have become a popular tool for monetary policy analysis in recent years. The basic sticky price model has been enriched to include additional sources of nominal and real rigidities. These additional elements have been introduced ...
Propagation of inflationary shocks in Chile
Cuando un shock golpea a un determinado precio, puede extenderse a otros precios y por tanto mover la inflación total en más que el efecto inicial. Este fenómeno se conoce como propagación de shock inflacionario y es el tema del presente artículo. Se argumenta que los modelos VAR bidimensionales que ...
The credit channel and monetary transmission in Brazil and Chile: a structured VAR approach
The widespread adoption of inflation-targeting regimes by emerging market economies has generated considerable interest in the channels through which monetary policy shocks affect output inflation and other relevant aggregates in such economies. Yet there is a paucity of empirical research for emerging ...
Inflation targeting versus price-path targeting: looking for improvements
The world’s central banks have undergone dramatic changes in the past fifteen years. Increases in independence and transparency have been coupled with a shift in focus. Price stability is now the paramount objective for the vast majority of modern central bankers. Combined, these changes in central ...
Indexation, inflation, and monetary policy
Although indexation policies and practices are common in many markets and economies, their implications for market efficiency and price stabilization remain controversial. This book contributes to the literature on indexation and inflation by including nine articles that are at the research frontier ...
Jobless recoveries during financial crises: is inflation the way out?
The slow rate of employment growth relative to that of output is a sticking point in the recovery from the financial crisis episode that started in 2008 in the U.S. and Europe (a phenomenon labeled 'jobless recovery'). The issue is a particularly burning one in Europe where some observers claim that ...
Does inflation targeting increase output volatility?: an international comparison of policymakers' preferences and outcomes
Monetary policy regimes around the world changed dramatically over the decade of the 1990s. Central banks have become more transparent, more independent, more accountable, and (apparently) more successful. The biggest transformation has benn the move away from focusing on intermediate objectives, susch ...