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Business cycle responses and the resilience of the chilean economy
After marked fluctuations in the business cycle over the last fifty years, the Chilean economy now appears to be less volatile and more resilient to external shocks. Because Chile is a small and increasingly open economy, analysts have long suspected that the amplitude of the cyclical fluctuations in ...
An econometric analysis on survey-data-based anchoring of inflation expectations in Chile
is understood as another central bank instrument, in the sense that it helps to promote price stability through the ability of policy makers to influence inflation expectations. Thus, expectations anchoring comes out as a result of policy actions. I provide...
Monetary policy in the grip of a pincer movement
Monetary policy has come under strain since the global financial crisis (GFC) of 2007–09. Once the GFC broke out central banks’ swift and determined response was essential to stabilise markets and to avoid a self-reinforcing downward spiral between the financial system and the real economy. But putting ...
Monetary policy and financial stability: transmission mechanisms and policy implications
The global financial crisis that broke out 10 years ago uncovered the buildup of risks during a period of price and output stability. It challenged the previous consensus that preserving price stability was the optimal way to ensure financial stability, and led to a surge of interest in the multiple ...
The transformation and performance of emerging market economies across the great divide of the global financial crisis
Before the Global Financial Crisis, a drive towards greater central-bank autonomy and transparency, as part of the achievement of greater central-bank credibility that had begun in the advanced economies (AE), spread to the emerging market economies...
General equilibrium analysis of a fuel tax increase in Chile
Achieving economic growth has been an important issue for over half a century. More recently, developed countries have incorporated the need for a more equitable and environmentally balanced growth. The complexity of modeling an economy with all its interrelations, agents, and sectors, however, has ...
Monetary policy responses to external spillovers in emerging market economies
Despite the remarkable progress made in many emerging and middle-income economies over the last few decades the continuing liberalization in financial markets and the integration into the global financial system these countries remain highly vulnerable to real and financial shocks coming from the U.S. ...
Capital flows macroprudential policies and capital controls
Understanding the determinants and patterns of international capital flows is of crucial importance for the design of policies that enhance macroeconomic stability. Traditionally capital flows have been very volatile in developing economies with large inflows in times of economic booms and large sudden ...
External vulnerability and preventive policies: an overview
Emerging market economies endure significantly more macroeconomic volatility than industrial countries. Output volatility in emerging market economies is more than twice as large as that in industrial economies, and consumption volatility is three times as large. Recent studies corroborate the view ...