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Monetary policy transmission in emerging markets: an application to Chile
A critical question for emerging-market policymakers is how to adjust to monetary policy changes in the center. A core tenet of modern macroeconomic theory is that countries should let their exchange rate float when financial conditions abroad change. This allows the nominal and real exchange rates ...
El carry trade en mercados industrializados y emergentes
Se revisa la evidencia sobre las ganancias asociadas al carry trade, se explora su relación con el dilema de la paridad de intereses descubierta (PID) y con el comportamiento de las primas por riesgo. Se confirman resultados anteriores en cuanto a que el carry trade es rentable y que la PID no se ...
Central banking with many voices: the communications arms race
Around the world, most central banks set policy by committee. This is motivated in part by the idea that groups reach better decisions than individuals and in part by a desire for representation of different geographical areas and economic constituencies in policymaking. The Bank for International ...
Ciclo económico, riesgo y costo del crédito en Chile desde una perspectiva de modelos VAR estructurales
Este trabajo estudia la interacción entre el ciclo económico y el mercado de crédito en Chile. Los resultados se obtienen con la identificación de shocks mediante un modelo VAR estructural que reproduce el mecanismo de transmisión estándar empírico de la política monetaria que se ha encontrado en otros ...
The relationship between exchange rates and inflation targeting revisited
For decades, the exchange rate was at the center of macroeconomic policy debates in emerging markets. Many countries used the nominal exchange rate to bring down inflation, –others—mostly in Latin America—used the exchange rate to implicitly tax the export sector. Currency crises were common and usually ...
On current account surpluses and the correction of global imbalances
The United States has run an increasingly large current account deficit over the last few years. J. P. Morgan forecasts that in 2007 the deficit will reach almost one trillion dollars, or 7 percent of GDP. This unprecedented situation has generated concern among analysts and policymakers. Many argue ...
Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy
Este artículo analiza el poder predictivo multihorizonte de la Curva de Phillips Híbrida Neokeynesiana (HNKPC) en la economía Chilena, para el período comprendido entre enero del 2000 y diciembre del 2014. Un elemento distintivo de este artículo es el uso de una especificación de Vector Autoregresivo ...
Trade exposure and the evolution of inflation dynamics
The Phillips curve—the relationship between price inflation
and fluctuations in economic activity— is a central building block
of economic models that allow for nominal rigidities and are relied
upon by central banks around the world to gauge cyclical inflationary
pressures and forecast inflation. ...
The credit channel and monetary transmission in Brazil and Chile: a structured VAR approach
The widespread adoption of inflation-targeting regimes by emerging market economies has generated considerable interest in the channels through which monetary policy shocks affect output inflation and other relevant aggregates in such economies. Yet there is a paucity of empirical research for emerging ...
Household saving and labor informality: the case of Chile
El artículo compara el comportamiento de ahorro de los trabajadores formales e informales. Además, ofrece una caracterización socioeconómica y financiera de los trabajadores informales. Utilizamos la Encuesta Financiera de Hogares levantada por el Banco Central de Chile en el 2007 y tenemos entre 2.533 ...