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Cointegración estacional en la demanda por dinero
Las estimaciones tradicionales de la demanda de dinero presentan problemas característicos: inestabilidad de los parámetros estimados, inconsistencia con los modelos teóricos y baja capacidad predictiva (Goldfeld y Sichel, 1990). Este trabajo explora en qué medida un tratamiento inadecuado de los ...
Recessions and financial disruptions in emerging markets: a bird's eye view
The global financial crisis of 2008–09 led to massive interruptions in cross-border financial and trade flows. As a result of the crisis virtually all of the advanced economies and many emerging market countries experienced recessions over the past two years. These recessions coincided with various ...
Sesgos de política económica cuando las autoridades fiscales y monetarias tienen objetivos diferentes.
La pregunta que se aborda en este trabajo es qué sesgos de política económica pueden ocurrir cuando las autoridades monetarias y las fiscales tienen preferencias distintas en cuanto a la importancia de cerrar las brechas de producción e inflación generadas por shocks adversos. Para cumplir con dicho ...
Inflation targeting and the anchoring of inflation expectations in the Western hemisphere
Many central banks have adopted a formal inflation-targeting framework based on the belief and the theoretical predictions that an explicit and clearly communicated numerical objective for the level of inflation over a specified period would, in itself, be a strong communication device that would help ...
Procyclicality of fiscal policy in emerging countries: the cycle is the trend
Economic research on fiscal policy has shown that while developed economies tend to run countercyclical fiscal policies Latin American countries have been characterized by procyclical policies. One of the explanations given to this phenomenon is that high external debt causes severe constraints on the ...
Captial controls and foreign exchange policy
The question of whether capital controls should be part of the tool box for policymakers to deal with capital flows has become one of the central issues in the international economic policy debate. It was one of the key policy issues in the G20 under the French Presidency in 2011 and it has been covered ...
Respuesta del rendimiento de los bonos soberanos a la política monetaria de Estados Unidos
Este trabajo compara los efectos de la política monetaria convencional de EE.UU. sobre el rendimiento de los bonos de gobiernos extranjeros con los de las medidas no convencionales adoptadas luego de que la tasa de los fondos federales alcanzara su límite inferior efectivo. Para dicho período, ...
Desempleo y consumo en Chile
El artículo estudia empíricamente el efecto del desempleo sobre el consumo agregado de bienes habituales en Chile entre 1990 y 2002. Utilizando un modelo de corrección de errores se encuentra que el desempleo rezagado tiene un efecto negativo y estadísticamente significativo sobre el crecimiento del ...
Monetary policy at the zero lower bound: the Chilean experience
The global financial crisis that started in 2008 dramatically changed the analysis and implementation of monetary policy worldwide. Central banks were at the center of the stage during that time implementing both conventional and unconventional policies. Not only were monetary policy rates drastically ...
Chile´s regional arrangements: the importance of market access and lowering the tariff to six percent
We define additive regionalism as the process of sequentially negotiating bilateral free trade agreements with all significant trading partners. Chile is the country that has most clearly articulated a strategy of additive regionalism. The government of Chile has successfully concluded a free trade ...