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Asset bubbles and sudden stops in a small open economy
One of the most striking features of the world economy over the last twenty-five years has been the sharp decline in the real interest rate from approximately 4% in the early 1990s to -1.5% in 2013 (figure 1). During this period there have been two waves of large capital inflows into emerging economies ...
Trade orientation and labor market evolution: Evidence from chilean plant-level data
Many developing and developed economies consider structural reforms to trade and fiscal policy that are designed to lower taxes and tariffs and stimulate investment and production of the manufacturing sector. A good example of such a country is Chile, which went through a series of structural reforms ...
Cuando los flujos de capital se detienen
El volumen de información que se produce en una economía varía con el tiempo. Se produce más información cuando trae más beneficios, como cuando los agentes prevén un estado en el que muchas empresas arriesgan la quiebra. Las medidas de información basadas en los precios bursátiles comunican hechos ...
Jobless recoveries during financial crises: is inflation the way out?
The slow rate of employment growth relative to that of output is a sticking point in the recovery from the financial crisis episode that started in 2008 in the U.S. and Europe (a phenomenon labeled 'jobless recovery'). The issue is a particularly burning one in Europe where some observers claim that ...
El mapa de la descentralización fiscal en Chile
A partir de una propuesta de Boex y Simatupang (2008) esta investigación estima un indicador de 'empoderamiento fiscal' municipal para Chile (EF) que combina un índice de autonomía fiscal con una medición del grado de control de los residentes sobre el gasto municipal (voice). La principal conclusión ...
Inflation targeting in financially stable economies: has it been flexible enough?
The international financial crisis and Great Recession of 2008- 09 called for a range of significant policy measures by central banks beyond aggressive interest rate cuts. Measures have ranged from improving international coordination to purchasing local private loan portfolios and direct intervention ...
Predicción del empleo sectorial y total en base a indicadores de confianza empresarial
¿Qué capacidad predictiva tiene el índice mensual de confianza empresarial? En este trabajo evaluamos el IMCE como predictor de la variación en doce meses del empleo total y sectorial. Al concentrarnos únicamente en la relación predictiva que existe entre las variables de empleo y los indicadores IMCE, ...
Innovación tecnológica en Chile: dónde estamos y qué se puede hacer
El objetivo principal de este trabajo es caracterizar y evaluar la situación de Chile en aspectos científico-tecnológicos desde un prisma económico. Del análisis realizado se desprende que, considerando el nivel de desarrollo que presenta nuestro país, existen graves deficiencias en nuestro Sistema ...
Liquidity and foreing asset management challenges for Latin America countries
The Global Financial Crisis put to the fore the challenges of managing liquidity and foreign assets at times of heightened volatility. Earlier concerns of some observers regarding the costs of precautionary hoarding notwithstanding the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) validated the buffer value of ...
The effects of U.S. monetary policy on emerging market economies’ sovereign and corporate bond markets
The global environment for emerging market economy (EME) bond markets has changed dramatically over the past few decades. Local currency bond markets (LCBMs) have developed especially in EMEs with low inflation stronger institutions and well defined creditor rights (see Burger and Warnock 2003 2006 ...