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Can economic perception surveys improve macroeconomic forecasting in Chile?
Comparamos el momento, la representatividad, los cuestionarios y la agregación de las respuestas de cinco encuestas de percepción económica chilenas en sus proyecciones macroeconómicas, observando las deficiencias de los índices agregados que combinan preguntas con diferente enfoque y perspectiva ...
The effects of business cycles on growth
This paper explores the links between business cycles and long-run growth. Although it is clear from a theoretical point of view that both of these phenomena are driven by the same macroeconomic variables, the interaction between economic fluctuations and growth has been largely ignored in the academic ...
Global information spillovers
The amount of information produced in an economy varies over time. Stock prices in particular are informative but their degree of informativeness changes over time. Agents do not produce the same amount of information in every macroeconomic state of the world or in anticipation of every state. Although ...
Policy responses to external shocks: the experiences of Australia, Brazil, and Chile
Open economies, particularly emerging markets and commodityintensive economies, deal with large external shocks. These are typically of a financial nature in the case of the former and real—in that they affect the terms of trade—in the case of the latter. Alternative policy reactions and policy setups ...