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Dinámica de tasas de interés de mercado en tiempos de turbulencia financiera
La importante baja de la tasa de política monetaria (TPM) durante el año 2009 ha compensado el alza de las tasas de colocación causada por la mayor incertidumbre nacional e internacional. Este artículo concluye lo anterior al examinar la evolución de las tasas de interés de colocación de consumo y ...
Bernanke's no-arbitrage argument revisited: can open market operations in real assets eliminate the liquidity trap?
This paper looks back on the professional consensus about monetary policy at the zero bound prior to the 2008 crisis and proposes a calibrated model that provides one interpretation to explain why it was somewhat off base. The general consensus in the economics profession in the late 1990s when Japan ...
Capital flow management with multiple instruments
Emerging markets (EMs) are affected by a global financial cycle originating in developed economies (Rey 2013). An increase in risk appetite of developed economies perhaps spurred by easy monetary policy leads to a surge in capital flows to EMs. These foreign capital flows especially foreign portfolio ...
The response of sovereign bonds yields to U.S. monetary policy
To provide further stimulus to the economy in response to a cascade of shocks that roiled financial markets in the latter part of 2008 the U.S. Federal Reserve started to aggressively employ unconventional monetary policy measures after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) lowered the target for ...
International aspects of the zero lower bound constraint
Large negative aggregate demand shocks can drive down an economy’s equilibrium real interest rate and if the central bank is committed to stabilizing inflation monetary policy may be hampered by the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates –the economy may be in a 'liquidity trap.' The policy dilemma ...
¿Puede una política monetaria expansiva llevar a auges de precios de activos? Evidencia histórica y empírica
Este trabajo desarrolla un método para identificar auges de precios de activos, centrado en la vivienda, las bolsas accionarias y las materias primas, con datos de 18 países OCDE desde 1920 hasta el presente. Se verifica si el conjunto de episodios de auge puede relacionarse con distintas mediciones ...
Respuesta del rendimiento de los bonos soberanos a la política monetaria de Estados Unidos
Este trabajo compara los efectos de la política monetaria convencional de EE.UU. sobre el rendimiento de los bonos de gobiernos extranjeros con los de las medidas no convencionales adoptadas luego de que la tasa de los fondos federales alcanzara su límite inferior efectivo. Para dicho período, ...
Anchors aweigh: how fiscal policy can undermine 'good' monetary policy
Policymakers have long understood that if fiscal policy runs amuck and monetary policy is forced to raise seigniorage revenues big inflations result. Latin American policymakers understand this outcome better than most. This message is implicit in Cagan’s (1956) initial study of hyperinflation and the ...
Fiscal deficits debt and monetary policy in a liquidity trap
The dramatic policy response to the 2008-09 global economic crisis from many countries has revived some old debates about the use of fiscal and monetary policy in fighting recessions. The central dilemma for policy-makers in Japan North America and Europe has been to try to counter a large recession ...
Trilemmas and tradeoffs: living with financial globalization
This paper evaluates the capacity of emerging market economies (EMEs) to moderate the domestic impact of global financial and monetary forces through their own monetary policies. I present the case that those EMEs able to exploit a flexible exchange rate are far better positioned than those that devote ...