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Riesgo de crédito de la banca de consumo
Siguiendo a Jara y Oda (2007), consideramos un grupo de bancos Chilenos especializados en créditos de consumo. Tomando la dinámica del grupo agregado, proponemos un modelo de riesgo de crédito basado en el gasto en provisiones. Utilizando relaciones contables, mostramos que el modelo es dinámico y ...
Can economic perception surveys improve macroeconomic forecasting in Chile?
Comparamos el momento, la representatividad, los cuestionarios y la agregación de las respuestas de cinco encuestas de percepción económica chilenas en sus proyecciones macroeconómicas, observando las deficiencias de los índices agregados que combinan preguntas con diferente enfoque y perspectiva ...
Fifteen years of new growth economics: what have we learned?
Paul Romer’s paper, “Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth,” is now fifteen years old. This pathbreaking contribution led to a resurgence in research on economic growth. The resulting literature has in had a number of important impacts. In particular, it shifted the research focus of macroeconomists. ...
The wealth distribution in developed and developing economies: comparing the United States to Chile using survey data from 2007
Este estudio examina las distribuciones de ingreso, activos, endeudamiento y riqueza en Chile, utilizando datos de la Encuesta Financiera de los Hogares de 2007. Se detalla la desigualdad a nivel agregado y también por una variedad de subgrupos, tales como edad, género, tipo de hogar, tipo de empleo ...
Predicción del empleo sectorial y total en base a indicadores de confianza empresarial
¿Qué capacidad predictiva tiene el índice mensual de confianza empresarial? En este trabajo evaluamos el IMCE como predictor de la variación en doce meses del empleo total y sectorial. Al concentrarnos únicamente en la relación predictiva que existe entre las variables de empleo y los indicadores IMCE, ...
The sources of economic growth: an overview
The importance of economic growth cannot be overstated. Income growth is ssential for achieving economic, social, and even political development. Countries that grow strongly and for sustained periods of time are able to reduce their poverty levels significantly, strengthen their democratic and political ...
It's not factor accumulation: stylized facts and growth models
The central problem in understanding economic development and growth is not, in fact, to understand the process by which an economy raises its savings rate and increases the rate of physical capital accumulation. Many development practitioners and researchers continue to target capital accumulation ...
The credit channel and monetary transmission in Brazil and Chile: a structured VAR approach
The widespread adoption of inflation-targeting regimes by emerging market economies has generated considerable interest in the channels through which monetary policy shocks affect output inflation and other relevant aggregates in such economies. Yet there is a paucity of empirical research for emerging ...
External conditions and growth performance
A central dimension of globalization is the world trend toward larger trade and financial openness, observed in most industrial and developing economies. Openness increases the integration of world goods and capital markets, contributing to potential gains in growth and welfare. However, increased ...
Desempeño y brecha educativa en Chile: ¿existe un sesgo por cobertura?
La mayor cobertura educacional en conjunto con el estancamiento del rendimiento educacional en Chile, en un contexto de mayor gasto en educación, es un verdadero puzle. Una hipótesis natural es que el aumento de la cobertura, al incorporar progresivamente a los grupos más vulnerables, explica la ...