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Revisiting the price puzzle in Chile
Economic theory argues that a contractionary monetary policy has a negative impact on inflation. Despite this, evidence from the empirical literature frequently finds that the estimated impulse-response function of a vector autoregressive (VAR...
A prize worth having: the IMF and price stability
It is always a pleasure to be in Santiago and I am especially pleased to be able to join you at this annual conference which in its nine years has established a high reputation for the quality of the papers and the discussion. This year’s conference is focusing on the subject of inflation targeting. ...
Credibility and inflation targeting in Chile
After a long history of high and volatile inflation, the Central Bank of Chile began implementing its monetary policy in the early 1990s by announcing yearly targets for inflation. This new framework was the first step toward a full-fledged inflation-targeting setup, although the Central Bank continued ...
Propagation of inflationary shocks in Chile
Cuando un shock golpea a un determinado precio, puede extenderse a otros precios y por tanto mover la inflación total en más que el efecto inicial. Este fenómeno se conoce como propagación de shock inflacionario y es el tema del presente artículo. Se argumenta que los modelos VAR bidimensionales que ...
Inflation targeting versus price-path targeting: looking for improvements
The world’s central banks have undergone dramatic changes in the past fifteen years. Increases in independence and transparency have been coupled with a shift in focus. Price stability is now the paramount objective for the vast majority of modern central bankers. Combined, these changes in central ...
Targeting inflation in an economy with staggered price setting
After experiencing high and persistent inflation rates in the 1970s and early 1980s, most industrialized economies entered the new century with a sustained record of flow, stable inflation rates. Many commentators attribute the new environment to good luck, in the form of no major supply shocks (at ...
Monetary policy under flexible exchange rates: an introduction to inflation targeting
Both policymakers and economists increasingly accept that the main medium- to long-run goal of monetary policy is the pursuit of price stability, defined as maintaining a low and stable rate of inflation. A high and variable inflation rate is socially and economically costly.
Indexation, inflationary inertia, and the sacrifice coeficient
When inflation is chronic, firms develop indexation practices that automatically tie the growth of prices, wages, and other contracts to the performance of some comprehensive price index. The microeconomic advantages of indexation are evident and derive from the immunization of the relative price ...
Indexation of public debt: analytical considerations and an application to the case of Brazil
Since the implementation of the Real Plan of 1994, the Brazilian economy has been in the process of reducing its degree of indexation. For more than three decades, Brazilian wages, rents, financial securities, and other contracts were indexed to the price level. The frequency of adjustment sometimes ...
Un análisis de la capacidad predictiva del precio del cobre sobre la inflación global
Esta nota utiliza una familia manejable de modelos de series de tiempo para comparar la capacidad predictiva entre un componente principal ad hoc de inflación global y el precio del cobre, al predecir la tasa de inflación interna de una muestra de...