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Optimal inflation stabilization in a medium-scale macroeconomic model
What is the optimal monetary policy, and how can the central bank implement it? Both questions have been extensively studied, but always in the context of simple theoretical structures, which by design are limited in their ability to account for actual observed business cycle fluctuations. This article ...
Trend, seasonal, and sectorial inflation in the Euro Area
A central focus of monetary policy is the underlying rate of inflation
that might be expected to prevail over a horizon of one or two years.
Because inflation is estimated from noisy data, the estimation of
this underlying rate of inflation, which we refer to as trend inflation,
requires statistical ...
Inflation targeting in the context of IMF-Supported adjustment programs
For the last few years, the staff of the Iternational Monetary Fund (IMF) has been engaged in assessing the functioning and effectiveness of inflation targeting in IMF member countries that have adopted this scheme as their monetary policy anchor. This involvement was restricted to the IMF's surveillance ...
Fuentes de incertidumbre en la conducción de la política monetaria en Chile
Este artículo analiza la relevancia cuantitativa de las incertidumbres aditiva y multiplicativa, y en los datos para la conducción de la política monetaria en Chile. El análisis de la incertidumbre en los datos, se enfoca en la incertidumbre asociada a la estimación de la brecha del producto utilizando ...
Forward guidance in hte yield curve: short rates versis bond supply
Since late 2008 when short-term interest rates reached their zero lower bound central banks have been conducting monetary policy through two primary instruments: quantitative easing (QE) in which they buy long-term government bonds and other long-term securities and so-called forward guidance in which ...
A decadeof inflation targeting in Chile: developments, lessons, and challenges
In the twentieth century, Chile experienced most monetary and exchange rate regimes. Periods of fixed exchange rates usually ended in speculative attacks as a result of inconsistent policies or significant external shocks, generating serious real costs and larger exchange rate volatility.
Un Indicador Contemporáneo de Actividad (ICA) para Chile
Esta nota presenta la construcción de un indicador contemporáneo de actividad real para la economía chilena, compuesto tanto por variables que capturan percepciones de la situación económica —datos blandos (soft)—, como también por variables que miden la actividad real, o datos duros (hard). Este tipo ...
Alternative monetary rules in the open-economy: a welfare-based approach
How do central banks choose among alternative monetary polocies? In this paper we analyze that question for an open economy following an interest rate rule. Many issues remain controversial in the design of such a rule. If inflation is targeted, as it presumably is, should the domestic interest rate ...