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The monetary transmission mechanism in Chile: a medium-sized macroeconometric model
The objective in building and specifying macroeconomic models is to reflect the main characteristics of an economy in a stylized way. This article describes a macroeconometric model for the Chilean economy. The aim of the model is to forecast the main macroeconomic variables, along with policy exercises ...
The macroeconomic conseguences of wage indexation revisited
Since the mid-1970s, the macroeconomic consequences of wage indexation has been the subject of considerable research. Starting with an enthusiastic proposal for indexation by Friedman (1974) and two influential papers by Gray (1976) and Fischer (1977), the academic literature has examined the effects ...
Optimal inflation stabilization in a medium-scale macroeconomic model
What is the optimal monetary policy, and how can the central bank implement it? Both questions have been extensively studied, but always in the context of simple theoretical structures, which by design are limited in their ability to account for actual observed business cycle fluctuations. This article ...
Indexation, inflationary inertia, and the sacrifice coeficient
When inflation is chronic, firms develop indexation practices that automatically tie the growth of prices, wages, and other contracts to the performance of some comprehensive price index. The microeconomic advantages of indexation are evident and derive from the immunization of the relative price ...
Trend, seasonal, and sectorial inflation in the Euro Area
A central focus of monetary policy is the underlying rate of inflation
that might be expected to prevail over a horizon of one or two years.
Because inflation is estimated from noisy data, the estimation of
this underlying rate of inflation, which we refer to as trend inflation,
requires statistical ...
A decadeof inflation targeting in Chile: developments, lessons, and challenges
In the twentieth century, Chile experienced most monetary and exchange rate regimes. Periods of fixed exchange rates usually ended in speculative attacks as a result of inconsistent policies or significant external shocks, generating serious real costs and larger exchange rate volatility.
Fuentes de incertidumbre en la conducción de la política monetaria en Chile
Este artículo analiza la relevancia cuantitativa de las incertidumbres aditiva y multiplicativa, y en los datos para la conducción de la política monetaria en Chile. El análisis de la incertidumbre en los datos, se enfoca en la incertidumbre asociada a la estimación de la brecha del producto utilizando ...
Forward guidance in hte yield curve: short rates versis bond supply
Since late 2008 when short-term interest rates reached their zero lower bound central banks have been conducting monetary policy through two primary instruments: quantitative easing (QE) in which they buy long-term government bonds and other long-term securities and so-called forward guidance in which ...
Inflation targeting and the liquidity trap
This paper considers whether issues regarding liquidity trap or zero lower bound phenomena substantially affect the case for inflation targeting, in comparison with other possible strategies for conducting monetary policy. It examines both theoretical and empirical issues and, in the latter case, ...
A decade of inflation targeting in the world: what do we know and what do we need to know?
The emergence of inflation targeting over the last ten years represents an exciting development in central banks' approach to the conduct of monetary policy. After initial adoption by New Zealand in 1990, a growing number of central banks in industrial and emerging economies have opted for inflation ...