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Mostrando ítems 81-90 de 101
A solution to fiscal procyclicality: the structural budget institutions pioneered by Chile
In June 2008 the President of Chile Michelle Bachelet had a low approval rating for management of the economy in particular. There were undoubtedly multiple reasons for this but a major reason was popular resentment that the government had resisted intense pressure to spend soaring receipts from copper ...
Why do countries have fiscal rules?
y el cabildeo del sector privado. Estos objectivos fiscales son compartidos por la mayoría de los países del mundo. La pregunta que surge es: ¿Por qué unos países adoptan una regla fiscal y otros países no? Responderla pasa por identificar bajo qué...
Can economic perception surveys improve macroeconomic forecasting in Chile?
Comparamos el momento, la representatividad, los cuestionarios y la agregación de las respuestas de cinco encuestas de percepción económica chilenas en sus proyecciones macroeconómicas, observando las deficiencias de los índices agregados que combinan preguntas con diferente enfoque y perspectiva ...
Managing sudden stops
Sudden stops are when capital inflows dry up abruptly. The banker’s aphorism—'It’s not speed that kills but the sudden stop'— has been popularly invoked since at least the Mexican crisis in 1994. Awareness then rose with impetus from the Argentine crisis (1995) the Asian crisis (1997) the Russian ...
An anatomy of credit booms and their demise
Episodes in which credit to the private sector rises significantly above its long-run trend (that is 'credit booms') are often associated with periods of economic turbulence. Until recently however efforts at developing methodologies for identifying credit booms and characterizing the economic ...
The link between labor cost inflation and price inflation in the Euro Area
To gauge inflationary pressures, policymakers generally pay close
attention to labor cost developments. A key reason has been the widely
held view that labor cost inflation (i.e., wage inflation adjusted for
productivity developments) is one of the main causes of price inflation.
From a theoretical ...
The credit channel and monetary transmission in Brazil and Chile: a structured VAR approach
The widespread adoption of inflation-targeting regimes by emerging market economies has generated considerable interest in the channels through which monetary policy shocks affect output inflation and other relevant aggregates in such economies. Yet there is a paucity of empirical research for emerging ...
A system for forecasting Chilean cash demand – the role of forecast combinations
Las autoridades monetarias tienen que planificar cuántas unidades de monedas y billetes necesitan comprar o producir para satisfacer las necesidades de la economía. Este documento presenta un sistema que contiene modelos de series de tiempo, así...
Global information spillovers
The amount of information produced in an economy varies over time. Stock prices in particular are informative but their degree of informativeness changes over time. Agents do not produce the same amount of information in every macroeconomic state of the world or in anticipation of every state. Although ...
Non-ricardian aspects of fiscal policy in Chile
In this paper we examine the effects of government spending shocks in the Chilean economy. The study of the effects of such shocks in an emerging market economy is of special interest because of the potential presence of non-Ricardian households that is households that do not own any assets or have ...