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Local impacts of trade liberalization: evidence from the chilean agricultural sector
Protectionist trade policies aim at shielding some sectors— typically but not exclusively manufacturing—from international competition. In doing so they may produce unintended consequences. In particular they tend to create some taxed sectors that use protected inputs usually in the agricultural sector ...
Modeling a housing and mortgage crisis
The current crisis has centered on borrower defaults on mortgages and the associated effects on banks’ own credit standing (and in several cases their own default), which in turn led to tightened conditions for lending to new (mortgage) borrowers. Any model that does not incorporate all or most of ...
Propagation of inflationary shocks in Chile
Cuando un shock golpea a un determinado precio, puede extenderse a otros precios y por tanto mover la inflación total en más que el efecto inicial. Este fenómeno se conoce como propagación de shock inflacionario y es el tema del presente artículo. Se argumenta que los modelos VAR bidimensionales que ...
External vulnerability and preventive policies: an overview
Emerging market economies endure significantly more macroeconomic volatility than industrial countries. Output volatility in emerging market economies is more than twice as large as that in industrial economies, and consumption volatility is three times as large. Recent studies corroborate the view ...
The reversal problem: development going backwards
The Covid-19 pandemic triggered the most synchronous economic downturn in more than a century. Ninety percent of countries posted a decline in real per-capita GDP in 2020, a share that surpassed any other year since 1900, which includes two world wars and the Great Depression of the 1930s.1 The health ...
La demanda de dinero por motivo transacción en Chile
Este artículo analiza la demanda de dinero por motivo transacción en Chile entre los años 1986 y 2000. Utilizando el método de cointegración propuesto por Johansen (1995), se encuentra que, pese a que los datos macroeconómicos en Chile muestran una fuerte estacionariedad en tendencia, es posible ...
Heterodox central banking
In response to the current global crisis the U.S. Federal Reserve and other central banks around the world have implemented diverse policy measures including purchasing a wide range of securities lending to financial institutions intervening in foreign exchange markets and paying interest on reserves. ...
Goverment size misallocation and the resource curse
Structural transformation is a reallocation of labor across sectors. In this paper I investigate the impact of structural transformation in an open economy on sectoral and aggregate productivity with a particular focus on the role of government. While there are potentially many sources of structural ...
Acceso a la educación superior ¿tiene un efecto disuasivo sobre el crimen juvenil? Evidencia para Chile
Este trabajo explora si el acceso a la educación superior en Chile tiene un efecto disuasivo sobre el crimen juvenil. Para esto, se analiza los efectos de una reforma implementada en el 2006 que ha mejorado considerablemente las oportunidades de acceso a instituciones de educación superior: el Crédito ...
Trilemmas and tradeoffs: living with financial globalization
This paper evaluates the capacity of emerging market economies (EMEs) to moderate the domestic impact of global financial and monetary forces through their own monetary policies. I present the case that those EMEs able to exploit a flexible exchange rate are far better positioned than those that devote ...