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Inflation targeting under political pressure
Historically, many emerging economies, particularly in Latin America, battled against persistently high and volatile inflation. Today, emerging economies continue to experience higher inflation than developed ones, and their central banks deviate more frequently from inflation targets. These patterns ...
The monetary policy transmission mechanism and policy rules in Canada
The inflation targeting regime in place in Canada requires a clear understanding of the monetary policy transmission mechanism and a way to exploit knowledge of that mechanism in making policy decisions. This paper describes the Bank of Canada's current undestanding of the monetary policy transmission ...
Alternative monetary rules in the open-economy: a welfare-based approach
How do central banks choose among alternative monetary polocies? In this paper we analyze that question for an open economy following an interest rate rule. Many issues remain controversial in the design of such a rule. If inflation is targeted, as it presumably is, should the domestic interest rate ...
Macroeconomía, política monetaria y patrimonio del Banco Central de Chile
En este artículo se hacen proyecciones estocásticas del balance (saldos y flujos) del Banco Central de Chile, a partir de su situación deficitaria actual. Estas proyecciones incorporan el efecto que tienen sobre el balance algunas variables macroeconómicas y políticas alternativas y dan cuenta de la ...
Bernanke's no-arbitrage argument revisited: can open market operations in real assets eliminate the liquidity trap?
This paper looks back on the professional consensus about monetary policy at the zero bound prior to the 2008 crisis and proposes a calibrated model that provides one interpretation to explain why it was somewhat off base. The general consensus in the economics profession in the late 1990s when Japan ...
¿Puede una política monetaria expansiva llevar a auges de precios de activos? Evidencia histórica y empírica
Este trabajo desarrolla un método para identificar auges de precios de activos, centrado en la vivienda, las bolsas accionarias y las materias primas, con datos de 18 países OCDE desde 1920 hasta el presente. Se verifica si el conjunto de episodios de auge puede relacionarse con distintas mediciones ...
Monetary policy thorugh asset markets: lessons from unconventional measures and implications for an integrated world
The global financial crisis of 2008 and its aftermath have brought many new challenges for the world’s central banks. These new challenges have in turn resulted in bold experimentation—not simply particularly vigorous use of traditional policy tools but also the use of new tools or if not entirely new ...
Evolución e importancia del crédito de consumo en Chile
En la última década la deuda de consumo con casas comerciales e instituciones financieras ha crecido fuertemente, causando preocupación en autoridades y analistas. Las causas de esta preocupación, sin embargo, no están explícitas. En este articulo buscaremos identificar el tipo de efectos macroeconómicos ...
Controles de capital y política cambiaria
El análisis empírico de este estudio sugiere que un objetivo de política cambiaria y el temor de un sobrecalentamiento de la economía nacional han sido los dos motivos más importantes para la (re) introducción y persistencia de los controles de capital de la última década. Los controles de capital se ...
Monetary policy under flexible exchange rates: an introduction to inflation targeting
Both policymakers and economists increasingly accept that the main medium- to long-run goal of monetary policy is the pursuit of price stability, defined as maintaining a low and stable rate of inflation. A high and variable inflation rate is socially and economically costly.