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La nominalización de la política monetaria en Chile: una evaluación
En agosto del 2001, el Banco Central de Chile 'nominalizó' su principal instrumento de política monetaria, reemplazando la tasa de política monetaria (TPM) indizada a la Unidad de Fomento, que usaba hasta la fecha, por una TPM nominal o denominada en pesos. Una serie de consecuencias, tanto en la ...
The carry trade in industrialized and emerging markets
The profitability of currency carry trades in and of itself is 'economic' evidence against the uncovered interest parity (UIP) condition. There is a wide variety of 'statistical' evidence against UIP. Yet the relationship between these two types of evidence and their implications for time variation ...
Optimal inflation stabilization in a medium-scale macroeconomic model
What is the optimal monetary policy, and how can the central bank implement it? Both questions have been extensively studied, but always in the context of simple theoretical structures, which by design are limited in their ability to account for actual observed business cycle fluctuations. This article ...
Dinámica no lineal en el mercado accionario Chileno: evidencia de retornos y volúmenes transados
En este trabajo se investiga la existencia de un posible comportamiento no lineal en las series de retornos y volumen transado para el caso del mercado accionario Chileno. Para capturar las posibles no linealidades de las series se estiman modelos autorregresivos de transición suave (modelos STAR), ...
The balance sheet channel
We study the role of the balance sheet channel of monetary policy in an environment in which credit plays an important role in the funding of new capital investment. Specifically, we ask whether the transmission mechanism of monetary policy is altered in an environment in which financial intermediation ...
Trade exposure and the evolution of inflation dynamics
The Phillips curve—the relationship between price inflation
and fluctuations in economic activity— is a central building block
of economic models that allow for nominal rigidities and are relied
upon by central banks around the world to gauge cyclical inflationary
pressures and forecast inflation. ...
Has the U.S. wage phillips curve flattened? A semi-structural exploration
The deep and prolonged recession triggered by the global financial
crisis of 2007–2009 led to a large increase in the unemployment rate in
most advanced economies. Ten years later, at the time of writing this
paper, the recession has long ended, and the subsequent recoveries
have brought the ...
The transformation and performance of emerging market economies across the great divide of the global financial crisis
Before the Global Financial Crisis, a drive towards greater central-bank autonomy and transparency, as part of the achievement of greater central-bank credibility that had begun in the advanced economies (AE), spread to the emerging market economies (EME). This process was greatly enhanced by the ...
Fiscal inflation and cosmetic defaults in a small open economy
For a small open economy, maintaining a stable exchange rate and moderate levels of inflation is often a goal of primary importance. At the same time, the profession has recognized the tight link between fiscal and monetary policies in determining inflation dynamics. Thus, the goal of a stable exchange ...
The fiscal footprint of macroprudential policy
Monetary policies leave a fiscal footprint. When the central bank cuts the policy interest rate, this footprint comes through multiple
channels: The demand for currency rises, so the central bank prints more banknotes to accommodate it, and this creates seignorage revenues. Inflation unexpectedly ...