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Experiences with current account deficits in Southeast Asia
In the 1990s, Southeast Asia experienced very rapid growth associated with large and persistent current account deficits. The episode lasted from 1990 to around 1996, ending with the outbreak of the Asian crisis in 1997–98. Current account deficits peaked at around 10 percent of gross domestic product ...
Lessons from inflation targeting in New Zealand
The number of central banks that have adopted formal inflation targeting regimes expanded over the past decade from only one to eight. The number increases even further when central banks that set policy consistent with a formal inflation target are included. Commesurate with the formal or informal ...
Quantity and quality of economic growth
Most cross-country studies of economic growth, including my earlier research, focus on the determinants of narrow economic variables. The variables most often studied are the growth rate of per capita gross domestic product (GDP) and the ratio of investment to GDP. In this study, my focus is on the ...
Monetary policy under uncertainty and learning
Huge swings in oil, food, and other commodity prices and the global financial crisis are at the core of current monetary policy discussion. The latter events are vivid reminders of how uncertainty, imperfect knowledge, and the need to learn affect macroeconomic behavior and the conduct of monetary ...
Indexation of public debt: analytical considerations and an application to the case of Brazil
Since the implementation of the Real Plan of 1994, the Brazilian economy has been in the process of reducing its degree of indexation. For more than three decades, Brazilian wages, rents, financial securities, and other contracts were indexed to the price level. The frequency of adjustment sometimes ...
Sovereign debt, volatility, and insurance
International capital inflows should, in theory, enable emerging market economies to reduce the volatility of private and public consumption in the presence of income volatility, in addition to allowing foreign savings to finance domestic capital accumulation. Access to international financial markets ...
Introducción: análisis empírico del ahorro en Chile
El ahorro es un viejo tema en Chile. Cada vez que se pone escaso el financiamiento externo, como ha ocurrido en forma recurrente a lo largo de nuestra historia, nos lamentamos de que no ahorramos lo suficiente como para sustentar una tasa de inversión razonable. Cada vez que hay abundante financiamiento ...
Una nota sobre el rol estabilizador del flujo de capitales
La teoría de economías competitivas bajo incertidumbre explica que, para individuos como Chile, con un perfil de ingresos creciente, pero a tasas altamente volátiles, inserto en un mundo de—en general— menor volatilidad, los beneficios de participar en mercados internacionales de capital pueden ...
Optimal inflation targeting under alternative fiscal regimes
Inflation targeting has become an increasingly popular approach to the conduct of monetary policy worldwide since the early 1990s. Most of the countries that have adopted inflation targeting judge the experiment favorably, at least thus far. In many countries, the adoption of inflation targeting has ...
Monetary policy, interest rate rules, and inflation targeting: some basic equivalences
Monetary policy in small open economies is typically cast as a choice between an exchange rate anchor (fixed or predetermined exchange rates) and a money anchor (floating exchange rates). Under such regimes, the growth rate of the nominal anchor is set according to the desired long-run inflation rate. ...