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Impacto de la política monetaria sobre el tipo de cambio bilateral: Chile y Estados Unidos
Este artículo analiza la reacción del tipo de cambio entre pesos Chilenos y dólares estadounidenses a las medidas de política monetaria que se adoptan en Chile y Estados Unidos. Se corre una regresión a la variación del tipo de cambio frente a un anuncio de política, sobre la variación de la tasa de ...
Estimating monetary policy rules for South Africa
Monetary policy in South Africa's emerging market economy, given capital account liberalization and severe constraints on fiscal policy, has the major responsability for curbing inflation and currency instability while trying to ensure sufficient growth for longer-term political stability and the ...
Fuentes de incertidumbre en la conducción de la política monetaria en Chile
Este artículo analiza la relevancia cuantitativa de las incertidumbres aditiva y multiplicativa, y en los datos para la conducción de la política monetaria en Chile. El análisis de la incertidumbre en los datos, se enfoca en la incertidumbre asociada a la estimación de la brecha del producto utilizando ...
New frontiers for menetary policy in Chile
Inflation targeting can be broadly defined as a framework for the conduct of MONETARY POLICY in which the central bank guides its instruments in order to hold inflation near a preannounced target or to bring back to the target. Although understanding the framework is straightfoward, its practical ...
Estabilidad financiera, política monetaria y banca central: una introducción
Este trabajo muestra un resumen integrado de los trabajos presentados en la duodécima Conferencia Anual del Banco Central de Chile 'Estabilidad Financiera, Política Monetaria y Banco Central', realizada en noviembre de 2008 y por aparecer compilados en un libro de próxima publicación. Los trabajos, ...
El horizonte de la política monetaria en Chile y otros países con metas de inflación
La tolerancia a cierta volatilidad en la tasa de inflación lleva a que aquellos países que tienen metas de inflación diseñen su política monetaria de modo que refleje flexibilidad en cuatro dimensiones: el índice de precios para el cual se define la meta, el ancho del rango meta, el punto medio del ...
The macroeconomic conseguences of wage indexation revisited
Since the mid-1970s, the macroeconomic consequences of wage indexation has been the subject of considerable research. Starting with an enthusiastic proposal for indexation by Friedman (1974) and two influential papers by Gray (1976) and Fischer (1977), the academic literature has examined the effects ...
Monetary policy under inflation targeting: an introduction
With the end of intermediate exchange rate regimes, countries are either abandoning domestic monetary policy (by choosing super-hard pegs or relinquishing their national currencies altogether) or strengthening independent monetary policymaking (by adopting floating exchange rates, of either the clean ...
The effect of uncertainty on monetary policy: how good are the brakes?
In most industrial countries, official interest rate changes tend to be 'smooth'. That is, rates are adjusted relatively infrequently and is small steps. Yet the path of interest rates that emerges as optimal from macroeconomic models is, in general, considerably more volatile. So are the paths of ...
Optimal monetary policy rules when the current account matters
Policymarkers and the academic community have reached an increasing consensus during the last two decades: the primary objective of monetary policy should be to control inflation (see, for example, King, 1999). A less settled issue is the appropriate role of the central bank regarding other, secondary ...
A decadeof inflation targeting in Chile: developments, lessons, and challenges
In the twentieth century, Chile experienced most monetary and exchange rate regimes. Periods of fixed exchange rates usually ended in speculative attacks as a result of inconsistent policies or significant external shocks, generating serious real costs and larger exchange rate volatility.
Medición de la política monetaria y el traspaso (pass-through) en Chile
Primero, este trabajo presenta una revisión de los principales estudios con VAR monetarios en Chile y en el mundo para medir la política monetaria y el traspaso del tipo de cambio a precios (pass-through). Segundo, se estiman tres VAR estructurales con restricciones de corto plazo y un VEC con ...
Macroeconomic and monetary policies from the eductive viewpoint
The quality of the coordination of expectations, a key issue for monetary policy, obtains from different, but interrelated, channels: both the credibility of the central bank intervention and the ability of decentralized agents to coordinate on a dynamical equilibrium matter. For both purposes, it is ...
Monetary policy rules and transmission mechanisms under inflation targeting in Israel
Disinflation in Israel has been a relatively slow process. It took more than a decade for the annual rate of inflation to fall from about 18 percent in the late 1980s to less than 4 percent in the late 1990s. For 2000 and 2001 the government has set an inflation target range of 3 to percent. Whether ...
Optimal monetary policy rules under inflation range targeting
Central banks resort to a variety of alternative arrangements in formulating, conducting, and communicating monetary policy. One increasingly popular type of arrangement is based on a target range for inflation. In this setup the conduct of monetary policy is oriented to keeping inflation withing ...
El miedo a flotar y la política cambiaria en Chile
Este artículo revisa las políticas de manejo cambiario en Chile, poniendo particular énfasis en el régimen de tipo de cambio flotante implementado en 1999 y los dos episodios de intervención cambiaria posteriores a este. Se presenta evidencia de las favorables condiciones existentes en Chile para ...
The monetary transmission mechanism in Chile: a medium-sized macroeconometric model
The objective in building and specifying macroeconomic models is to reflect the main characteristics of an economy in a stylized way. This article describes a macroeconometric model for the Chilean economy. The aim of the model is to forecast the main macroeconomic variables, along with policy exercises ...
Eficiencia de la política monetaria en Chile ¿existieron mejoras?
La volatilidad del producto y de la tasa de inflación disminuyó de manera importante en los últimos años. Esta mejora del desempeño económico se puede explicar tanto por una caída de los shocks que enfrenta la economía como por una mejora en la política monetaria. Este documento explora la contribución ...
Do development considerations matter for exchange rate policy?
Chile was one of the world’s fastest-growing economies in the 1990s. Its growth rate of 6.8 percent per year from 1990 to 2000 (inclusive) was the seventh highest in the world, and by far the highest in Latin America. Poverty was halved, and while this was overwhelmingly due to growth rather than a ...
Imperfect knowledge and the pitfalls of optimal control monetary policy
Sixty years ago, Milton Friedman questioned the usefulness of the optimal control approach because of policymakers’ imperfect knowledge of the economy and favored instead a simple rule approach to monetary policy (1947, 1948). These are still live issues, despite the development of powerful techniques ...