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Expectations, learning and monetary policy: an overview of recent research
The conduct of monetary policy in terms of interest rate or other rules has been extensively studied in recent research. This literature gives a central role to forecasts of future inflation and output, and the question of whether monetary policy should be forward- ooking has been subject to discussion ...
Sources of uncertainty in conducting monetary policy in Chile
Monetary policy is made in an environment of substantial uncertainty. Consequently, academic researchers have sought to formally demonstrate the implications of uncertainty, as well as the ways in which central banks can manage it. The theoretical literature on uncertainty distinguishes between three ...
Monetary policy at the zero lower bound: the Chilean experience
The global financial crisis that started in 2008 dramatically changed the analysis and implementation of monetary policy worldwide. Central banks were at the center of the stage during that time implementing both conventional and unconventional policies. Not only were monetary policy rates drastically ...
Monetary policy responses to external spillovers in emerging market economies
Despite the remarkable progress made in many emerging and middle-income economies over the last few decades the continuing liberalization in financial markets and the integration into the global financial system these countries remain highly vulnerable to real and financial shocks coming from the U.S. ...
Monetary policy in the grip of a pincer movement
Monetary policy has come under strain since the global financial crisis (GFC) of 2007–09. Once the GFC broke out central banks’ swift and determined response was essential to stabilise markets and to avoid a self-reinforcing downward spiral between the financial system and the real economy. But putting ...
Determinacy, learnability, and plausibility in monetary policy analysis: additional results
It is almost superfluous to begin by emphasizing that recent research in monetary policy analysis has featured a great deal of work concerning conditions for determinacy—that is, existence of a unique dynamically stable rational expectations equilibrium— under various specifications of policy behavior.1 ...
Monetary policy in Chile: institutions objectives and instruments
Inflation seemed to be an endemic disease of the Chilean economy for most of the 20th century with its presence being felt even before the creation of the Central Bank in 1925. However things seemed to change drastically in the mid 1990s when the country began to experience a sustained process of ...
Do development considerations matter for exchange rate policy?
Chile was one of the world’s fastest-growing economies in the 1990s. Its growth rate of 6.8 percent per year from 1990 to 2000 (inclusive) was the seventh highest in the world, and by far the highest in Latin America. Poverty was halved, and while this was overwhelmingly due to growth rather than a ...
Transparency, flexibility, and inflation targeting
Three parallel and certainly not independent changes have occurred in central bank practices over the past fifteen years. The first is the spread of central bank independence, which is tied to the notion that even when the government plays a role in setting the goals of monetary policy, central banks ...
Monetary policy and macro-prudential regulation: the risk-sharing paradigm
Economic history is replete with episodes of financial crises creating havoc for the real economy. These episodes typically have three important ingredients. First there are large financial flows to finance a bubbling asset class such as sovereigns or housing with 'safe' debt. Second there is a sharp ...