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The carry trade in industrialized and emerging markets
The profitability of currency carry trades in and of itself is 'economic' evidence against the uncovered interest parity (UIP) condition. There is a wide variety of 'statistical' evidence against UIP. Yet the relationship between these two types of evidence and their implications for time variation ...
International reserve management and the current account
This paper assesses the costs and benefits of active international reserve management. The first part outlines and appraises various channels through which international reserve management may enhance economic performance, focusing on two important channels: it lowers the real exchange rate volatility ...
Inflation targeting and the inflation process: lessons from an open economy
Inflation targeting in an open economy insolves a number of complexities that do not arise with inflation targeting in a clises economy. One of these is that central banks in open economies have to decide how to repond to changes in the exchange rate.
The use of foreign exchange derivatives by exporters and importers the Chilean experience
This research note analyses the use of foreign exchange (FX) derivatives by Chilean exporters and importers (EXIM) that conduct international transactions in foreign currencies. It seeks to answer the questions of how many derivatives are used, how are they used and what are their characteristics. ...
Currency mismatches in chilean nonfinancial corporations
The potential financial vulnerability that can occur when private sector or government agents acquire high levels of foreign currency debt has been at the center of discussion since the financial crises that affected the countries of Southeast Asia in the late 1990s. To the extent that a mismatch is ...
A decadeof inflation targeting in Chile: developments, lessons, and challenges
In the twentieth century, Chile experienced most monetary and exchange rate regimes. Periods of fixed exchange rates usually ended in speculative attacks as a result of inconsistent policies or significant external shocks, generating serious real costs and larger exchange rate volatility.
Proyecciones macroeconómicas en Chile: una aproximación estructural y bayesiana
uso generalizado en los bancos centrales: un BVAR, un modelo reducido neokeynesiano y un DSGE, todos estimados con econometría bayesiana. Se utilizan como benchmark modelos univariados de series de tiempo (AR(1) y camino aleatorio) pero estimados con...
Actividad del mercado cambiario y movimiento del tipo de cambio nominal
Esta nota presenta evidencia — basada en series nuevas de actividad cambiarla— del efecto de los volúmenes y posiciones de distintos agentes del mercado cambiario sobre el movimiento del tipo de cambio nominal en Chile. En particular, se evalúa si...
Monetary policy under flexible exchange rates: an introduction to inflation targeting
Both policymakers and economists increasingly accept that the main medium- to long-run goal of monetary policy is the pursuit of price stability, defined as maintaining a low and stable rate of inflation. A high and variable inflation rate is socially and economically costly.
Régimen de metas de inflación y credibilidad de la política monetaria en Chile
tradeoff que enfrenta el Banco Central. Finalmente, mostramos que la regla que caracteriza el comportamiento del Banco Central de Chile se ha vuelto más agresiva en respuesta a la inflación, y ahora mira más hacia delante, lo cual también es coherente con...