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Business cycle responses and the resilience of the chilean economy
After marked fluctuations in the business cycle over the last fifty years, the Chilean economy now appears to be less volatile and more resilient to external shocks. Because Chile is a small and increasingly open economy, analysts have long suspected that the amplitude of the cyclical fluctuations in ...
Sterilized foreign exchange interventions under inflation targeting
Inflation targeting needs exchange rate flexibility. If the policy interest rate is geared to achieving the inflation target the central bank must be willing to accept the resulting exchange rate. Simply put if the central bank has both an inflation target and an exchange rate target the private sector ...
Fiscal multipliers and policy coordination
This paper is about an economy in a liquidity trap that is an environment with a zero nominal interest rate deflationary pressures and subpar growth. The paper shows two fiscal policy multipliers in a relatively standard New Keynesian liquidity trap economy with taxation costs. It computes real ...
Exchange rate puzzles and policies
What is the optimal exchange rate policy? Should exchange rates be optimally pegged, managed, or allowed to freely float? What defines a freely floating exchange rate? Do open economies face a trilemma constraint in choosing between inflation...
Risk premium shifts and monetary policy: a coordination approach
Our understanding of crisis propagation and the telling of the crisis narrative have been heavily influenced by the events surrounding the 2008 crisis which has focused on the leverage of banks and other financial intermediaries. Since then the focus has shifted from banks to financial market liquidity ...
The sources of economic growth: an overview
The importance of economic growth cannot be overstated. Income growth is ssential for achieving economic, social, and even political development. Countries that grow strongly and for sustained periods of time are able to reduce their poverty levels significantly, strengthen their democratic and political ...
Monetary policy and global spillovers: mechanisms, effects and policy measures
Central Banks in emerging markets have been forced in the last decade to deal with spillovers from the crises in the United States and Europe and from the extraordinary measures respectively taken by the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank. This volume provides a comprehensive study of the ...
Revisiting the price puzzle in Chile
Economic theory argues that a contractionary monetary policy has a negative impact on inflation. Despite this, evidence from the empirical literature frequently finds that the estimated impulse-response function of a vector autoregressive (VAR...
Measuring and managing macrofinancial risk and financial stability: a new framework
The vulnerability of a national economy to volatility in the global markets for credit, currencies, commodities, and other assets has become a central concern of policymakers. The responsibility for managing these risks at the national level is often given to the central bank. However, the conventional ...