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Tales of two recessions in Chile: financial frictions in 1999 and 2009
During 2007-2009 the world underwent a deep economic crisis that has been termed the Great Recession where total output is estimated to have decreased 0.6%. This event has had two salient characteristics: it was a financial shock that originated in advanced economies and in the end most of the economies ...
Capital mobility and monetary policy
The papers that comprise the different chapters of this volume were presented in the XVII Annual Conference on Central Banking that took place at the Central Bank of Chile, Santiago, during November 14 and 15, 2011. While the global economic environment has changed considerably from the end of 2011 ...
Commodity connectedness
Commodities and commodity markets play a central role in the global economy. Hence commodity market developments are widely chronicled and followed. Commodities are a key input to all countries’ production and a key output of many emerging economies so fluctuations in commodity prices may contribute ...
Fiscal policy debt crises and economic growth
It is very well known that growth rates play a role in debt dynamics. Despite this widespread knowledge real world narratives of public debt crises often focus almost exclusively on budget deficits and neglect the role of growth. This paper presents the simplest arithmetic possible to illustrate how ...
The three E’s of central-bank communication with the public
Central banks used to ask, “Shall we communicate this?” Now, as a rule, they ask, “Why wouldn’t we communicate this?” This
first wave of the revolution in central-bank communication is giving rise to a second wave. The question increasingly is, “How should we communicate this in a way that engages a ...
Credibility of emerging markets, foreign investors’ risk perceptions, and capital flows
Emerging market economies (EMEs) are constantly exposed to shocks that originate in world capital markets, posing serious challenges to policymakers. By dealing with these shocks —Covid-19 representing the most recent event— several lessons have been learned in terms of the ways they
propagate as ...
Competition and stability in banking
Banking went from being one of the most regulated sectors in the economy after the crisis in the 1930s to a more lightly regulated sector with the liberalization process that started in the 1970s in the United States. The previous period was marked by few crises with much more instability in the second ...
Exchange rate puzzles and policies
What is the optimal exchange rate policy? Should exchange rates be optimally pegged, managed, or allowed to freely float? What defines a freely floating exchange rate? Do open economies face a trilemma constraint in choosing between inflation...