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Changing inflation dynamics, evolving monetary policy: an overview
Understanding the dynamics of inflation has become an important
challenge for both policymakers and researchers over the past decade.
Empirical models linking inflation and economic activity—versions of
the so-called Phillips curve—have failed to account for the behavior of
inflation in many ...
Public trust and central banking
Central bank independence is one of the most remarkable pieces of institutional architecture fostered by economic thinking in the last half century. Theoretical studies in the 1980s stressed central bank independence as a precondition to bringing...
Memoria anual 2020
El Banco Central de Chile ha publicado su Memoria Integrada 2020, reporte que detalla los principales hitos financieros, medioambientales, de relación con la comunidad, con sus trabajadores y el aporte que la institución hace al país a través del cumplimiento de su mandato legal, con el foco puesto ...
Memoria anual 2019
El Banco Central de Chile busca realizar su gestión con eficiencia, en un marco de creciente transparencia de sus acciones e incorporando de manera permanente la aplicación de criterios y políticas adheridas a las mejores prácticas observadas a nivel mundial.
Este documento conforma nuestra primera ...
Inflation targeting under political pressure
Historically, many emerging economies, particularly in Latin America, battled against persistently high and volatile inflation. Today, emerging economies continue to experience higher inflation than developed ones, and their central banks deviate...
Trend, seasonal, and sectorial inflation in the Euro Area
A central focus of monetary policy is the underlying rate of inflation
that might be expected to prevail over a horizon of one or two years.
Because inflation is estimated from noisy data, the estimation of
this underlying rate of inflation, which we refer to as trend inflation,
requires statistical ...
The fiscal footprint of macroprudential policy
Monetary policies leave a fiscal footprint. When the central bank cuts the policy interest rate, this footprint comes through multiple
channels: The demand for currency rises, so the central bank prints more banknotes to accommodate it, and this creates seignorage revenues. Inflation unexpectedly ...
Has the U.S. wage phillips curve flattened? A semi-structural exploration
The deep and prolonged recession triggered by the global financial
crisis of 2007–2009 led to a large increase in the unemployment rate in
most advanced economies. Ten years later, at the time of writing this
paper, the recession has long ended, and the subsequent recoveries
have brought the ...
Trade exposure and the evolution of inflation dynamics
The Phillips curve—the relationship between price inflation
and fluctuations in economic activity— is a central building block
of economic models that allow for nominal rigidities and are relied
upon by central banks around the world to gauge cyclical inflationary
pressures and forecast inflation. ...
Risks to central-bank independence
Central banking today faces a number of existential challenges. On the political side, and particularly after the financial crisis, the public has come to expect central banks to take on a dizzying array of responsibilities, some far beyond...