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Extracting information on economic activity from business and consumer surveys in an emerging economy (Chile)
El presente artículo discute la medida en que las encuestas de percepción a empresas y consumidores contienen información útil para predecir la actividad económica en Chile. Las encuestas utilizadas son las correspondientes a los índices IMCE e IPEC, para las empresas y consumidores, respectivamente. ...
Análisis de flujos en el mercado laboral chileno
En este trabajo se analiza la dinámica del mercado laboral asalariado en Chile utilizando micro datos mensuales provenientes de la base del Seguro de Cesantía. Se calcula flujos entre estados laborales, además de flujos entre sectores geográficos y sectores de la economía. El análisis muestra un gran ...
Credit stabilization through public banks: the case of Banco Estado
A novel element in the policy mix that responded to the 2008- 2009 financial crisis was the explicit role given to BancoEstado a publicly-owned commercial bank to alleviate the contraction in domestic credit provided by the banking sector. In order to aid its mission BancoEstado was capitalized by 500 ...
Tipo de cambio nominal Chileno: predicción basada en análisis técnico
Este trabajo presenta un resumen de las principales medidas utilizadas en el análisis técnico de la paridad peso-dólar. Se explica la interpretación y el uso que los analistas técnicos dan a estas medidas. Asimismo, se realizan ejercicios que evalúan la capacidad del Índice de Fuerza Relativa (RSI) ...
Microeconomic flexibility in Latin America
Latin American economies have begun to leave behind some of the most primitive sources of macroeconomic fluctuations. Policy concern is gradually shifting toward increasing microeconomic flexibility. This is a welcome trend since microeconomic flexibility, which facilitates the ongoing process of ...
Negative interest rates: lessons from the Euro area
In June 2014 the European Central Bank (ECB) decided to cut the rate on its deposit facility (DFR) by 10 basis points (bp) into negative territory an unprecedented move as no major central bank had used negative rates before. This decision was part of a more comprehensive monetary policy easing package ...
A toolkit for analyzing alternative policies in the chilean economy
As noted by Leeper (1995) “the business pages of leading newspapers give the impression that the effects of alternative monetary policies on the macroeconomy are well understood and predictable.” They tend “to write with great certainty that when the monetary authority raises interest rates it slows ...
Equity market spillovers in the Americas
Many aspects of financial markets merit monitoring in risk management and portfolio allocation contexts, including (and perhaps especially) in contexts of interest to central banks. Much recent attention, for example, has been devoted to measuring and forecasting return volatilities and correlations, ...
A caricature (model) of the world economy
This paper provides an extremely stylized model of the workings of a global economy where one of its key driving factors is economic agents’ continuous struggle to find assets to park financial resources. This struggle naturally comes with euphoria and disappointments as many of the 'parking lots' are ...
Short-term interest rates and bank lending terms: evidence from a survey of U.S. loans
The long period of low interest rates that followed the global financial crisis has rekindled interest in how short-term interest rates affect bank behavior. In particular it has led to a debate on how low policy rates influence bank risk-taking. This risk-taking channel of monetary policy corresponds ...