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Alternative monetary rules in the open-economy: a welfare-based approach
How do central banks choose among alternative monetary polocies? In this paper we analyze that question for an open economy following an interest rate rule. Many issues remain controversial in the design of such a rule. If inflation is targeted, as it presumably is, should the domestic interest rate ...
Targeting inflation in an economy with staggered price setting
After experiencing high and persistent inflation rates in the 1970s and early 1980s, most industrialized economies entered the new century with a sustained record of flow, stable inflation rates. Many commentators attribute the new environment to good luck, in the form of no major supply shocks (at ...
Inflation targeting in Brazil: shocks, backward-looking prices, and IMF conditionality
In mid-January 1990, Brazil abandoned its crawling exchange rate band. Surprisingly enough, the country's economic performance in the aftermath of this episode was much better than expected, given the performance of other emerging market economies after a move toward floating. Despite the large ...
A decade of inflation targeting in the world: what do we know and what do we need to know?
The emergence of inflation targeting over the last ten years represents an exciting development in central banks' approach to the conduct of monetary policy. After initial adoption by New Zealand in 1990, a growing number of central banks in industrial and emerging economies have opted for inflation ...
Inflation dynamics in a small open economy model under inflation targeting: some evidence from Chile
Following the influential work of Christiano, Eichenbaum, and Evans (2005) and Smets and Wouters (2003), many central banks are building and estimating dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models with nominal rigidities and are using them for policy analysis. This new generation of sticky ...
The nonpuzzling behavior of median inflation
For decades, textbooks have explained inflation behavior with
Friedman (1968)’s Phillips curve: the inflation rate depends on
expected inflation and the deviation of unemployment from its natural
rate. Yet this theory has always been controversial, and skepticism
has been rampant in the decade ...
New keynesian models for Chile in the inflation-targeting period
Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models with nominal rigidities have become a popular tool for monetary policy analysis in recent years. The basic sticky price model has been enriched to include additional sources of nominal and real rigidities. These additional elements have been introduced ...
Un test conjunto de superioridad predictiva para los pronósticos de inflación Chilena
Habitualmente se construyen pronósticos de inflación en distintos momentos del tiempo y a base de conjuntos de información diferentes. Cabría esperar que un pronóstico construido sobre la base de un conjunto de información mayor, fuese más preciso que otro construido a base de un conjunto de información ...
The relationship between exchange rates and inflation targeting revisited
For decades, the exchange rate was at the center of macroeconomic policy debates in emerging markets. Many countries used the nominal exchange rate to bring down inflation, –others—mostly in Latin America—used the exchange rate to implicitly tax the export sector. Currency crises were common and usually ...
Tipo de cambio real de equilibrio en Chile: enfoques alternativos
En el marco de política monetaria basado en metas de inflación y flotación cambiaria, interesa conocer el valor de equilibrio del tipo de cambio real (TCR). Este trabajo describe los modelos de determinación del TCR de equilibrio de uso regular en el BCCh. En particular, se discuten los modelos de ...