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A decade of inflation targeting in the world: what do we know and what do we need to know?
The emergence of inflation targeting over the last ten years represents an exciting development in central banks' approach to the conduct of monetary policy. After initial adoption by New Zealand in 1990, a growing number of central banks in industrial and emerging economies have opted for inflation ...
Trade orientation and labor market evolution: Evidence from chilean plant-level data
Many developing and developed economies consider structural reforms to trade and fiscal policy that are designed to lower taxes and tariffs and stimulate investment and production of the manufacturing sector. A good example of such a country is Chile, which went through a series of structural reforms ...
Contingent reserves management: an applied framework
One of the most serious problems that a central bank in an emerging market economy can face is the sudden reversal of capital inflows (or sudden stops). Hoarding international reserves can be used to smooth the impact of such reversals (see, for example, Lee, 2004), but these reserves are seldom ...
Inflation targeting in Brazil: shocks, backward-looking prices, and IMF conditionality
In mid-January 1990, Brazil abandoned its crawling exchange rate band. Surprisingly enough, the country's economic performance in the aftermath of this episode was much better than expected, given the performance of other emerging market economies after a move toward floating. Despite the large ...
Some measures of financial fragility in the chilean banking system: an early warning indicators application
The regulatory framework of the chilean financial system includes a number of regulations that seek to maintain the financial stability of banks. On one hand, the Central Bank of Chile in its role as regulator and, on the other hand, the Superintendency of Banks in its role as supervisor have set a ...
The relationship between exchange rates and inflation targeting revisited
For decades, the exchange rate was at the center of macroeconomic policy debates in emerging markets. Many countries used the nominal exchange rate to bring down inflation, –others—mostly in Latin America—used the exchange rate to implicitly tax the export sector. Currency crises were common and usually ...
What drives the current account in commodity exporting countries?: the cases of Chile and New Zealand
As capital markets have become increasingly integrated, savings and investment within countries have tended to become less correlated, in what is known as the Feldstein-Horioka (1980) correlation, with the corollary that savings-investment gaps (that is, current accounts) have tended to become more ...
Labor market distortions, employment and grwth: the recent chilean experience
From 1984 to 1998, the Chilean economy grew at a rate of 5.4 percent per capita, putting it among the world’s most successful economies in the past twenty years. This performance can undoubtedly be attributed to the market-oriented structural reforms that took place in the 1970s, 1980s, and early ...
Estimación de brecha y tendencia para la economía Chilena
Los componentes de tendencia y de brecha del PIB constituyen piezas claves para la evaluación y proyección de modelos estándares de política monetaria. Sin embargo, la medición de estas variables está plagada de dificultades. En este trabajo se proponen dos enfoques diferentes. El primero consiste en ...
On current account surpluses and the correction of global imbalances
The United States has run an increasingly large current account deficit over the last few years. J. P. Morgan forecasts that in 2007 the deficit will reach almost one trillion dollars, or 7 percent of GDP. This unprecedented situation has generated concern among analysts and policymakers. Many argue ...