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On current account surpluses and the correction of global imbalances
The United States has run an increasingly large current account deficit over the last few years. J. P. Morgan forecasts that in 2007 the deficit will reach almost one trillion dollars, or 7 percent of GDP. This unprecedented situation has generated concern among analysts and policymakers. Many argue ...
Sovereign debt, volatility, and insurance
International capital inflows should, in theory, enable emerging market economies to reduce the volatility of private and public consumption in the presence of income volatility, in addition to allowing foreign savings to finance domestic capital accumulation. Access to international financial markets ...
Microeconomic flexibility in Latin America
Latin American economies have begun to leave behind some of the most primitive sources of macroeconomic fluctuations. Policy concern is gradually shifting toward increasing microeconomic flexibility. This is a welcome trend since microeconomic flexibility, which facilitates the ongoing process of ...
Inflation targeting versus price-path targeting: looking for improvements
The world’s central banks have undergone dramatic changes in the past fifteen years. Increases in independence and transparency have been coupled with a shift in focus. Price stability is now the paramount objective for the vast majority of modern central bankers. Combined, these changes in central ...
Eficiencia de la política monetaria en Chile ¿existieron mejoras?
La volatilidad del producto y de la tasa de inflación disminuyó de manera importante en los últimos años. Esta mejora del desempeño económico se puede explicar tanto por una caída de los shocks que enfrenta la economía como por una mejora en la política monetaria. Este documento explora la contribución ...
Assessing the flexibility of the labor market in Chile: An international perspective
The unemployment rate in Chile averaged slightly over 6.5 percent throughout a ten-year period of high economic growth that ended in 1997. Unemployment then rose significantly at the outset of the Asian crisis, reaching levels near 11 percent. This broadly coincided with the implementation of a set ...
Optimal monetary policy in a small, open economy: a general-equilibrium analysis
The two central issues in monetary policy are separated by time horizon. The first relates to the short run: what is the appropriate monetary policy across the business cycle? The second relates to the long run: waht is the optimal long-run rate of inflation? This paper explores these classic issues ...
Indexation of public debt: analytical considerations and an application to the case of Brazil
Since the implementation of the Real Plan of 1994, the Brazilian economy has been in the process of reducing its degree of indexation. For more than three decades, Brazilian wages, rents, financial securities, and other contracts were indexed to the price level. The frequency of adjustment sometimes ...
Riesgo, tamaño y concentración en el sistema bancario Chileno
La posible fusión de dos de los bancos comerciales más grandes en Chile desató un fuerte debate respecto a su conveniencia. Se aduce que un mayor nivel de concentración incrementaría significativamente el riesgo agregado (sistémico) del sistema bancario. Este argumento supone implícitamente que las ...
Imperfect labor mobility, urban unemployment and agricultural trade reform in Chile
A component of agricultural policy in Chile is the use of price bands to stabilize domestic price movements in selected agricultural crops and processed agricultural commodities. In the 1990s, the use of price bands for wheat, fats and oils, and sugar resulted in the equivalent of roughly a 22 percent ...