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Inflation targeting in Brazil: shocks, backward-looking prices, and IMF conditionality
In mid-January 1990, Brazil abandoned its crawling exchange rate band. Surprisingly enough, the country's economic performance in the aftermath of this episode was much better than expected, given the performance of other emerging market economies after a move toward floating. Despite the large ...
Currency mismatches in chilean nonfinancial corporations
The potential financial vulnerability that can occur when private sector or government agents acquire high levels of foreign currency debt has been at the center of discussion since the financial crises that affected the countries of Southeast Asia in the late 1990s. To the extent that a mismatch is ...
The macroeconomic conseguences of wage indexation revisited
Since the mid-1970s, the macroeconomic consequences of wage indexation has been the subject of considerable research. Starting with an enthusiastic proposal for indexation by Friedman (1974) and two influential papers by Gray (1976) and Fischer (1977), the academic literature has examined the effects ...
Descalces cambiarios en firmas chilenas no financieras
Usando una nueva base de datos que incluye la composición por monedas de activos y pasivos de firmas del sector no financiero, este estudio analiza los efectos y determinantes de los descalces cambiarios en Chile. En línea con estudios anteriores, encontramos que después de una depreciación real, las ...
Monetary policy, interest rate rules, and inflation targeting: some basic equivalences
Monetary policy in small open economies is typically cast as a choice between an exchange rate anchor (fixed or predetermined exchange rates) and a money anchor (floating exchange rates). Under such regimes, the growth rate of the nominal anchor is set according to the desired long-run inflation rate. ...
Is the foreign exchange derivatives market effective and efficient in reducing currency risk?
Floating foreign exchange rates have gained increased support as a preferred system for reducing the vulnerability of emerging markets to external shocks. The volatility associated with floating exchange rates, however, exposes economic agents to the risk of changes in the valuation of the financial ...
Exchange rate interventions and insurance: is fear of floating a cause for concern?
Fear of floating has recently come to be seen as one of the central de facto characteristics of exchange rate regimes in emerging markets, after first being identified by Calvo and Reinhart (2002). The interpretation of this phenomenon is still open to question. Does the optimal monetary regime for ...
Tipo de cambio nominal Chileno: predicción basada en análisis técnico
Este trabajo presenta un resumen de las principales medidas utilizadas en el análisis técnico de la paridad peso-dólar. Se explica la interpretación y el uso que los analistas técnicos dan a estas medidas. Asimismo, se realizan ejercicios que evalúan la capacidad del Índice de Fuerza Relativa (RSI) ...
International reserve management and the current account
This paper assesses the costs and benefits of active international reserve management. The first part outlines and appraises various channels through which international reserve management may enhance economic performance, focusing on two important channels: it lowers the real exchange rate volatility ...