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Local impacts of trade liberalization: evidence from the chilean agricultural sector
Protectionist trade policies aim at shielding some sectors— typically but not exclusively manufacturing—from international competition. In doing so they may produce unintended consequences. In particular they tend to create some taxed sectors that use protected inputs usually in the agricultural sector ...
Reviewing the evidence against absolute convergence
Few subjects in applied economic research have been studied as extensively as the convergence hypothesis advanced by Solow (1956) and documented by Baumol (1986). In simple terms, the hypothesis states that poor countries or regions tend to grow faster than rich ones. In its strongest version (known ...
Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy
Este artículo analiza el poder predictivo multihorizonte de la Curva de Phillips Híbrida Neokeynesiana (HNKPC) en la economía Chilena, para el período comprendido entre enero del 2000 y diciembre del 2014. Un elemento distintivo de este artículo es el uso de una especificación de Vector Autoregresivo ...
Tax incentives for retirement savings: simulation results in the presence of liquidity constraints and heterogeneous consumers in an OLG-GE model
The overlapping generations general equilibrium (OLG-GE) framework constitutes an important tool for policy evaluation. One of its strengths is that it considers that at any given time the population is composed of workers of different ages and, therefore, whith different time horizons. This has two ...
Making hard choices: trilemmas and dilemmas of macroeconomic policy in Latin America
Este artículo determina la linealidad del trilema de política macroeconómica para Colombia, Chile, México y Perú. El rol del crecimiento del crédito es considerado explícitamente con el fin de examinar la hipótesis alternativa de un dilema de política generado por la presencia de ciclos financieros ...
KFstar and portfolio inflows: a focus on Latin America
Policymakers faced with volatile capital flows may desire a method to identify the level of flows likely to persist in the medium
run. In a series of papers (Burger, Warnock, and Warnock, henceforth BWW, 2018, 2022), we have developed an estimate of the natural or equilibrium level of capital flows ...
Estimación de la estructura de tasas nominales de Chile: aplicación del modelo dinámico nelson-siegel
En este artículo se propone una versión discreta y dinámica del modelo de Nelson y Siegel para la estimación de la estructura de tasas de interés, la que se obtiene asumiendo como válida la Hipótesis de Expectativas en Logaritmo, además de una modelación explícita para la dinámica de los factores del ...
Inflation globally
The fortunes of the Phillips curve have ebbed and flowed ever
since it was proposed by Phillips (1958). Although its origins are
primarily as an empirical regularity, there is now a vast literature
that provides more formal justification. In recent times, the Great
Moderation and the modern era ...
Current account deficits: the Australian debate
Large and persistent current account deficits are frequently raised as a cause for concern for a number of reasons. Perhaps the key concern is that countries in this situation could be on a path to insolvency, building up excessive net foreign debt, raising the prospects of default or a sharp reversal ...
Determinantes de la exposición cambiaria de las empresas Chilenas
Se examina el impacto de las fluctuaciones del tipo de cambio sobre el valor de las empresas no financieras en Chile. Utilizando un conjunto de datos detallados sobre las actividades externas y el uso de derivados monetarios por parte de las empresas, se analizan los determinantes potenciales de la ...