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Credibility of emerging markets, foreign investors’ risk perceptions, and capital flows
Emerging market economies (EMEs) are constantly exposed to shocks that originate in world capital markets, posing serious challenges to policymakers. By dealing with these shocks —Covid-19 representing the most recent event— several lessons have been learned in terms of the ways they
propagate as ...
Exchange rate interventions and insurance: is fear of floating a cause for concern?
Fear of floating has recently come to be seen as one of the central de facto characteristics of exchange rate regimes in emerging markets, after first being identified by Calvo and Reinhart (2002). The interpretation of this phenomenon is still open to question. Does the optimal monetary regime for ...
Inflation targeting: an overview
After the emergence of a consensus in the 1980s on the harmful effects of inflation, the last decade of the twentieth century witnessed a market reduction in inflation rates across the world. By the end of the 1980s, empirical evidence collected from large cross-country analyses and numerous case ...
Terms of trade shocks and investment in commodity-exporting economies
Commodity prices have experienced significant swings over the past two decades. Real commodity prices have on average more than doubled in the last decade compared to the previous one while the prices of some commodities such as copper and other industrial metals have more than tripled in real terms. ...
U.S. monetary spillovers to Latin America: the role of long-term interest rates
The economic situation in emerging markets has deteriorated in recent years. Perhaps the single most important event especially for Latin America has been the end of the so called commodity supercycle which intensified with the collapse in oil prices in late 2014. But the trend of weaker currencies ...
Revisiting overborrowing and its policy implications
Economies with imperfect financial market access may experience crises that cause significant economic dislocation. These crises are characterized by the sudden stop of domestic or international credit flows and they are associated with large declines in consumption output relative prices and asset ...
Monetary policy and dutch disease: the case of price and wage rigidity
From a theoretical point of view and as we will show the presence of both price and wage rigidities implies that to the extent that fiscal policy is unresponsive to shocks full price stability is not optimal. In this paper we study optimal monetary and exchange rate policy in a small open economy with ...
Optimal monetary policy rules when the current account matters
Policymarkers and the academic community have reached an increasing consensus during the last two decades: the primary objective of monetary policy should be to control inflation (see, for example, King, 1999). A less settled issue is the appropriate role of the central bank regarding other, secondary ...
Policy responses to external shocks: the experiences of Australia, Brazil, and Chile
Open economies, particularly emerging markets and commodityintensive economies, deal with large external shocks. These are typically of a financial nature in the case of the former and real—in that they affect the terms of trade—in the case of the latter. Alternative policy reactions and policy setups ...