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Determinantes de la exposición cambiaria de las empresas Chilenas
Se examina el impacto de las fluctuaciones del tipo de cambio sobre el valor de las empresas no financieras en Chile. Utilizando un conjunto de datos detallados sobre las actividades externas y el uso de derivados monetarios por parte de las empresas, se analizan los determinantes potenciales de la ...
Dynamics of earnings in Chile
Uncertainty is a key dimension of individual decisionmaking. Individuals cannot insure against certain contingencies under incomplete markets. Uncertainty thus influences the life-cycle evolution of consumption and savings, labor supply and asset allocation, and education and occupation choices. ...
The nonpuzzling behavior of median inflation
For decades, textbooks have explained inflation behavior with
Friedman (1968)’s Phillips curve: the inflation rate depends on
expected inflation and the deviation of unemployment from its natural
rate. Yet this theory has always been controversial, and skepticism
has been rampant in the decade ...
Chile’s fiscal rule as social insurance
Well before the Great Recession of 2009 put fiscal policy debates in the front burner commodity-exporting countries had to deal with important fiscal policy dilemmas stemming from revenue volatility and eventual depletion. Chilean policymakers have been at the forefront in this area since adopting a ...
Determinantes del ahorro privado en Chile
Uno de los argumentos que se oyen con más frecuencia en Chile en los últimos años es que se debe aumentar la tasa de ahorro para que este país retome la tasa de crecimiento que exhibió desde mediados de los 80 hasta 1998. El punto es que para crecer a tasas elevadas (7%) se requiere una mayor inversión, ...
Inflation target transparency and the macroeconomy
Over the last twenty years, many central banks have adopted increasing standards of transparency in communicating their monetary policy objectives, in particular regarding the explicit definition and quantification of their price stability objective or inflation target. One important benefit of increased ...
Predicción del empleo sectorial y total en base a indicadores de confianza empresarial
¿Qué capacidad predictiva tiene el índice mensual de confianza empresarial? En este trabajo evaluamos el IMCE como predictor de la variación en doce meses del empleo total y sectorial. Al concentrarnos únicamente en la relación predictiva que existe entre las variables de empleo y los indicadores IMCE, ...
What drives the current account in commodity exporting countries?: the cases of Chile and New Zealand
As capital markets have become increasingly integrated, savings and investment within countries have tended to become less correlated, in what is known as the Feldstein-Horioka (1980) correlation, with the corollary that savings-investment gaps (that is, current accounts) have tended to become more ...
Liquidity and foreing asset management challenges for Latin America countries
The Global Financial Crisis put to the fore the challenges of managing liquidity and foreign assets at times of heightened volatility. Earlier concerns of some observers regarding the costs of precautionary hoarding notwithstanding the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) validated the buffer value of ...
Precios de activos en Chile: arbitrajes y burbujas
Este artículo investiga las principales regularidades empíricas que exhiben los precios de activos reales (tierra, casas y acciones) en Chile en los últimos veinte años. Utilizando una estrategia econométrica de series de tiempo, se examinan las propiedades estadísticas de cada una de las series de ...