Buscar
Mostrando ítems 91-100 de 101
Unemployment dynamics in Chile: 1960-2015
Como proxy del mercado laboral de Chile, analizamos los flujos del mercado laboral de la Región Metropolitana de Santiago a lo largo de los últimos cincuenta años. Siguiendo la literatura, calculamos las tasas con que se encuentra y se pierde un empleo (tasas de riesgo) en los movimientos desde y hacia ...
Recessions and financial disruptions in emerging markets: a bird's eye view
The global financial crisis of 2008–09 led to massive interruptions in cross-border financial and trade flows. As a result of the crisis virtually all of the advanced economies and many emerging market countries experienced recessions over the past two years. These recessions coincided with various ...
Global imbalances and external adjustment after the crisis
Over five years have passed since the most intense phase of the global financial crisis. As has been widely documented the pre-crisis period was characterized by increased dispersion in current account deficits and surpluses facilitated by a benign global financial environment characterized by low ...
Debt- and equity-led capital flow episodes
Our earlier work has helped to switch the focus of studies of extreme capital flow movements toward the use of data on gross inflows (mainly driven by foreigners) and outflows (mainly driven by domestics) rather than relying on net flows (the sum of the two) (Forbes and Warnock 2012). The old focus ...
Forward guidance in hte yield curve: short rates versis bond supply
Since late 2008 when short-term interest rates reached their zero lower bound central banks have been conducting monetary policy through two primary instruments: quantitative easing (QE) in which they buy long-term government bonds and other long-term securities and so-called forward guidance in which ...
Too poor to grow
Development theorists have long been intrigued by a variety of mechanisms capable of generating vicious cycles of poverty and stagnation—broadly referred to as poverty traps. These mechanisms highlight different ways in which poverty may deter growth and become self-perpetuating. Such situation may ...
Procyclicality of fiscal policy in emerging countries: the cycle is the trend
Economic research on fiscal policy has shown that while developed economies tend to run countercyclical fiscal policies Latin American countries have been characterized by procyclical policies. One of the explanations given to this phenomenon is that high external debt causes severe constraints on the ...
Competencia y estabilidad en la banca
Este artículo revisa el estado del conocimiento en la literatura académica, teórica y empírica, sobre el posible dilema entre competencia y estabilidad en la banca. La competencia puede aumentar la inestabilidad a través de dos canales elementales: por un lado, exacerbando el problema de coordinación ...
A global safe asset for and from emerging market economies
International capital flows are fickle. Short-term debt funding is especially subject to sudden stops. Sudden flight into safe-haven currencies can cause large disruptions and sharp currency movements ultimately leading to a crisis. When markets shift from a risk-on to a risk-off mood cross-country ...
Teorías y métodos de medición del producto de tendencia: una aplicación al caso de Chile
Este artículo presenta una revisión de las teorías de determinación del producto de tendencia. Se discuten alternativas metodológicas para derivar el producto de tendencia de la economía Chilena, utilizando información histórica trimestral para el período 1986-2001. Entre los métodos considerados ...