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Modeling a housing and mortgage crisis
The current crisis has centered on borrower defaults on mortgages and the associated effects on banks’ own credit standing (and in several cases their own default), which in turn led to tightened conditions for lending to new (mortgage) borrowers. Any model that does not incorporate all or most of ...
Does inflation targeting increase output volatility?: an international comparison of policymakers' preferences and outcomes
Monetary policy regimes around the world changed dramatically over the decade of the 1990s. Central banks have become more transparent, more independent, more accountable, and (apparently) more successful. The biggest transformation has benn the move away from focusing on intermediate objectives, susch ...
Resource revenue management: three policy clocks
Economies in which the extraction of a non-renewable natural resource is a significant activity pose two distinctive challenges for economic policy: Revenues are likely to fluctuate because commodity prices have historically been volatile. Furthermore the revenue from extraction is generated by depleting ...
Evaluación de la flexibilidad del mercado laboral chileno desde una perspectiva internacional
En este artículo clasificamos a Chile en términos de la flexibilidad de su mercado laboral entre economías con distintos grados de desarrollo, incluyendo países emergentes y pertenecientes a la Organización para la Cooperación y el Desarrollo Económico. Para ello usamos un indicador deflexibilidad ...
Credibility and inflation targeting in Chile
After a long history of high and volatile inflation, the Central Bank of Chile began implementing its monetary policy in the early 1990s by announcing yearly targets for inflation. This new framework was the first step toward a full-fledged inflation-targeting setup, although the Central Bank continued ...
Desviaciones de la paridad cubierta de tasas de interés: experiencia internacional y el caso de Chile
Normalmente se entiende la paridad cubierta de tasas de interés (PCI) como una realidad tanto teórica como empírica que nace de la condición de no arbitraje de los mercados internacionales. No obstante esta no se cumplió durante la crisis financiera mundial del año 2008 para las principales monedas ...
Índices podados como medidas de tendencia para el imacec
El objetivo de este trabajo es elaborar una gama de índices de actividad de tendencia a partir de las series desagregadas que componen el índice mensual de actividad económica, Imacec. Siguiendo técnicas estadísticas similares a las usadas para generar series subyacentes de inflación, se espera que ...
Central banks going long
Long-term interest rates have for long played an ambiguous role in the operation of monetary policy. The Federal Reserve Act of 1913 that created the Federal Reserve set the monetary policy objective to be: '... to promote effectively the goals of maximum employment stable prices and moderate long-term ...
Monetary policy responses to external spillovers in emerging market economies
Despite the remarkable progress made in many emerging and middle-income economies over the last few decades the continuing liberalization in financial markets and the integration into the global financial system these countries remain highly vulnerable to real and financial shocks coming from the U.S. ...
A toolkit for analyzing alternative policies in the chilean economy
As noted by Leeper (1995) “the business pages of leading newspapers give the impression that the effects of alternative monetary policies on the macroeconomy are well understood and predictable.” They tend “to write with great certainty that when the monetary authority raises interest rates it slows ...