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Financial diversification, sudden stops, and sudden starts
The financial crises of the second half of the 1990s have led to renewed interest in the causes and consequences of international capital flows. Sudden stops, defined as large drops in net capital inflows, have received particular attention, given the collapses in output and investment commonly ...
Comfort in floating: taking stock of twenty years of freely floating exchange rate in Chile
Chile offers an example of a country that has overcome the fear of floating by reducing balance-sheet mismatches; enhancing financial-market development; and improving monetary, fiscal, and political institutions; while strengthening policy credibility. Under the floating regime, Chile’s economic ...
¿Puede una política monetaria expansiva llevar a auges de precios de activos? Evidencia histórica y empírica
Este trabajo desarrolla un método para identificar auges de precios de activos, centrado en la vivienda, las bolsas accionarias y las materias primas, con datos de 18 países OCDE desde 1920 hasta el presente. Se verifica si el conjunto de episodios de auge puede relacionarse con distintas mediciones ...
Demanda por dinero: teoría, evidencia, resultados
Este artículo presenta una revisión crítica de la literatura económica sobre la demanda por dinero, poniendo énfasis en los resultados empíricos obtenidos para Chile. La primera parte del análisis reseña brevemente los principales enfoques analíticos acerca de la demanda por dinero en una perspectiva ...
Managing the capital account
Globalization has been under attack over the last few years. Activists, famous academics, and commentators of various stripes have mounted a systematic campaign against free trade in goods and, especially, in financial claims. One of the latest manifestations of this antiliberalization mood was the ...
Efectos de shocks al precio del petróleo sobre la economía de Chile y sus socios comerciales
Con el fin de evaluar el impacto de un shock al precio de petróleo a la economía Chilena, este estudio aplica la metodología de restricción de signos de las funciones de impulso respuesta para distinguir el efecto de distintos tipos de shock: oferta, demanda, o demanda específica de petróleo. Para ...
New keynesian models for Chile in the inflation-targeting period
Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models with nominal rigidities have become a popular tool for monetary policy analysis in recent years. The basic sticky price model has been enriched to include additional sources of nominal and real rigidities. These additional elements have been introduced ...
The supply-side origins of U.S. inflation
In recent years, we have not seen much of a negative correlation
between inflation, the time series plotted in figure 1, and measures of
resource slack, based on real GDP plotted in figure 2. This flattening
of the Phillips curve in many countries across the world has startled
monetary policymakers. ...
Liquidity and foreing asset management challenges for Latin America countries
The Global Financial Crisis put to the fore the challenges of managing liquidity and foreign assets at times of heightened volatility. Earlier concerns of some observers regarding the costs of precautionary hoarding notwithstanding the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) validated the buffer value of ...
The monetary transmission mechanism in Chile: a medium-sized macroeconometric model
The objective in building and specifying macroeconomic models is to reflect the main characteristics of an economy in a stylized way. This article describes a macroeconometric model for the Chilean economy. The aim of the model is to forecast the main macroeconomic variables, along with policy exercises ...