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Sobre los determinantes de los spreads marginal y promedio de las tasas de interés bancarias: Chile 1994-2001
El estudio de los spreads de tasas de interés bancarias es clave para entender el proceso de intermediación financiera. Por lo general, la disponibilidad de datos restringe los análisis empíricos a medidas de spreads construidas a partir de los estados financieros de los bancos. Nuestro estudio ocupa ...
Impacto de la política monetaria sobre el tipo de cambio bilateral: Chile y Estados Unidos
Este artículo analiza la reacción del tipo de cambio entre pesos Chilenos y dólares estadounidenses a las medidas de política monetaria que se adoptan en Chile y Estados Unidos. Se corre una regresión a la variación del tipo de cambio frente a un anuncio de política, sobre la variación de la tasa de ...
Función de ingresos de los hogares Chilenos: ciclo de vida y persistencia de shocks
Sobre la base de la información de hogares de la Encuesta Suplementaria de Ingresos 1990-98 (alrededor de treinta mil hogares anualmente) se encuentra evidencia estadística de que el componente esperado de la función de ingresos de los hogares Chilenos está determinado significativamente por los efectos ...
Financial frictions and business cycles in middle-income countries
Empirical analysis reveals three regularities among middleincome countries: consumption is highly procyclical and more volatile than output, investment is highly procyclical and three to four times as volatile as output, and real net exports are countercyclical and about three times as volatile as ...
La autonomía del Banco Central de Chile: origen y legitimación
La independencia del Banco Central fue establecida en su Ley Orgánica Constitucional promulgada en Octubre de 1989, en las postrimerías del régimen militar. Debido a su origen, ella fue objeto de fuertes críticas inicialmente. En este artículo se analizan los procesos políticos y económicos que explican ...
Estimating monetary policy rules for South Africa
Monetary policy in South Africa's emerging market economy, given capital account liberalization and severe constraints on fiscal policy, has the major responsability for curbing inflation and currency instability while trying to ensure sufficient growth for longer-term political stability and the ...
Causes and consequences of indexation: a review of the literature
Automatic price adjustment mechanisms, or indexation, have arisen in a variety of economies with distinct macroeconomic environments and in different moments in time. Examples include the labor market indexation implemented in various European countries in the postwar era, the indexation of financial ...
Fuentes de incertidumbre en la conducción de la política monetaria en Chile
Este artículo analiza la relevancia cuantitativa de las incertidumbres aditiva y multiplicativa, y en los datos para la conducción de la política monetaria en Chile. El análisis de la incertidumbre en los datos, se enfoca en la incertidumbre asociada a la estimación de la brecha del producto utilizando ...
Business cycle responses and the resilience of the chilean economy
After marked fluctuations in the business cycle over the last fifty years, the Chilean economy now appears to be less volatile and more resilient to external shocks. Because Chile is a small and increasingly open economy, analysts have long suspected that the amplitude of the cyclical fluctuations in ...
Managing the capital account
Globalization has been under attack over the last few years. Activists, famous academics, and commentators of various stripes have mounted a systematic campaign against free trade in goods and, especially, in financial claims. One of the latest manifestations of this antiliberalization mood was the ...
Labor market distortions, employment and grwth: the recent chilean experience
From 1984 to 1998, the Chilean economy grew at a rate of 5.4 percent per capita, putting it among the world’s most successful economies in the past twenty years. This performance can undoubtedly be attributed to the market-oriented structural reforms that took place in the 1970s, 1980s, and early ...
New frontiers for menetary policy in Chile
Inflation targeting can be broadly defined as a framework for the conduct of MONETARY POLICY in which the central bank guides its instruments in order to hold inflation near a preannounced target or to bring back to the target. Although understanding the framework is straightfoward, its practical ...
Policy evaluation and empirical growth research
This paper explores the implications of the vast body of studies of cross-country growth determinants for the evaluation of alternative policies. Empirical growth studies have experienced a remarkable flowering in the last fifteen years, and innumerable insights have unquestionably been uncovered ...
Estabilidad financiera, política monetaria y banca central: una introducción
Este trabajo muestra un resumen integrado de los trabajos presentados en la duodécima Conferencia Anual del Banco Central de Chile 'Estabilidad Financiera, Política Monetaria y Banco Central', realizada en noviembre de 2008 y por aparecer compilados en un libro de próxima publicación. Los trabajos, ...
Stabilization, persistence, and inflationary convergence: a comparative analysis
The role of inflationary persistence has become a recurrent theme in discussions on stabilization programs (Fischer, 1986). This has particularly been the case in recent debates on the merits of exchange-rate-based stabilization plans. Some authors claim that anti-inflationary programs based on ...
El horizonte de la política monetaria en Chile y otros países con metas de inflación
La tolerancia a cierta volatilidad en la tasa de inflación lleva a que aquellos países que tienen metas de inflación diseñen su política monetaria de modo que refleje flexibilidad en cuatro dimensiones: el índice de precios para el cual se define la meta, el ancho del rango meta, el punto medio del ...
The macroeconomic conseguences of wage indexation revisited
Since the mid-1970s, the macroeconomic consequences of wage indexation has been the subject of considerable research. Starting with an enthusiastic proposal for indexation by Friedman (1974) and two influential papers by Gray (1976) and Fischer (1977), the academic literature has examined the effects ...
Microeconomic flexibility in Latin America
Latin American economies have begun to leave behind some of the most primitive sources of macroeconomic fluctuations. Policy concern is gradually shifting toward increasing microeconomic flexibility. This is a welcome trend since microeconomic flexibility, which facilitates the ongoing process of ...
Monetary policy under inflation targeting: an introduction
With the end of intermediate exchange rate regimes, countries are either abandoning domestic monetary policy (by choosing super-hard pegs or relinquishing their national currencies altogether) or strengthening independent monetary policymaking (by adopting floating exchange rates, of either the clean ...
The effect of uncertainty on monetary policy: how good are the brakes?
In most industrial countries, official interest rate changes tend to be 'smooth'. That is, rates are adjusted relatively infrequently and is small steps. Yet the path of interest rates that emerges as optimal from macroeconomic models is, in general, considerably more volatile. So are the paths of ...