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Under what conditions can inflation targeting be adopted? The experience of emerging markets
Inflation targeting has become an increasingly popular monetary policy strategy, with 21 countries (8 industrial and 13 emerging market economies) targeting inflation and others considering following in their footsteps. Numerous studies of inflation targeting in industrial countries have been conducted, ...
Regularidades empíricas del entorno internacional relevante para la economía Chilena
En el presente estudio se analizan regularidades macroeconómicas dentro de los grandes bloques económicos (EE.UU., Europa y Japón) y se describe la interacción entre variables relevantes de estos bloques y su relación con variables de interés para la economía Chilena como precios de productos básicos, ...
Metas de inflación y el objetivo de pleno empleo
Este trabajo muestra la equivalencia entre distintas formas de plantear el objetivo inflacionario. Definir un rango y el porcentaje del tiempo que se espera estar en él es lo mismo que definir una meta para la proyección de la inflación en un horizonte dado. Ambas formas son similares a definir la ...
Sorpresas de política monetaria y la curva de rendimiento en Chile
Este trabajo estima el impacto de una innovación de política monetaria sobre la curva de rendimiento nominal y real en Chile durante el período 2002-2007. Usando información de la curva forward para obtener el elemento no anticipado de la acción de política, se encuentra que el efecto de una sorpresa ...
Transparency, flexibility, and inflation targeting
Three parallel and certainly not independent changes have occurred in central bank practices over the past fifteen years. The first is the spread of central bank independence, which is tied to the notion that even when the government plays a role in setting the goals of monetary policy, central banks ...
Monetary policy in Chile: a black box?
During the 1990s the Chilean economy gradually cut its inflation rate from figures in the thirties to 4.7 percent in 1998. Central bank authorities have declared that the main objective of monetary policy is to reduce inflation to levels comparableto those in industrial countries. The desgnated ...
Acerca del nivel adecuado de las reservas internacionales: el caso de Chile
Bajo un régimen de tipo de cambio flexible, las reservas internacionales de un país contribuyen a reducir los riesgos de crisis de liquidez y permiten a la autoridad intervenir excepcionalmente en el mercado cambiario. Sin embargo, mantener reservas también es costoso. En este trabajo se discute una ...
Overoptimism boom-bust cycles and monetary policy in small open economies
In the 1990s several emerging market economies such as Chile Mexico and a number of southeast Asian countries displayed episodes of peaking growth rates combined with increasing current account deficits and appreciating currencies which ended with abrupt reversions in capital flows and recessions. In ...
A sticky-information general equilibrium model for policy analysis
Following on Keynes’s desire that economists be as useful as dentists, Lucas (1980) argues that this would amount to the following: “Our task, as I see it, is to write a FORTRAN program that will accept specific economic policy rules as ‘input’ and will generate as ‘output’ statistics describing the ...
Indexation, inflationary inertia, and the sacrifice coeficient
When inflation is chronic, firms develop indexation practices that automatically tie the growth of prices, wages, and other contracts to the performance of some comprehensive price index. The microeconomic advantages of indexation are evident and derive from the immunization of the relative price ...