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El carry trade en mercados industrializados y emergentes
Se revisa la evidencia sobre las ganancias asociadas al carry trade, se explora su relación con el dilema de la paridad de intereses descubierta (PID) y con el comportamiento de las primas por riesgo. Se confirman resultados anteriores en cuanto a que el carry trade es rentable y que la PID no se ...
Goverment size misallocation and the resource curse
Structural transformation is a reallocation of labor across sectors. In this paper I investigate the impact of structural transformation in an open economy on sectoral and aggregate productivity with a particular focus on the role of government. While there are potentially many sources of structural ...
Leverage restrictions in a business cycle model: a comment
The paper by Christiano and Ikeda in this volume is one of the first efforts to quantify the welfare gains of leverage constraints in a macroeconomic model with a banking sector. Unlike other models their answer is that they can be even more desirable when banks hold little equity and intermediation ...
Capital inflows and books in asset prices: evidence from a panel of countries
Policymakers and academics often believe that large capital inflows are associated with booms in asset prices and therefore with a higher risk of financial crisis. The belief is supported by the theoretical works of Krugman (1998) Caballero and Krishnamurthy (2006) Aoki Benigno and Kiyotaki (2009) ...
Jobless recoveries during financial crises: is inflation the way out?
The slow rate of employment growth relative to that of output is a sticking point in the recovery from the financial crisis episode that started in 2008 in the U.S. and Europe (a phenomenon labeled 'jobless recovery'). The issue is a particularly burning one in Europe where some observers claim that ...
Leverage restrictions in a business cycle model
We seek to develop a business cycle model with a financial sector which can be used to study the consequences of policies to restrict the leverage of financial institutions (banks). Because we wish the model to be consistent with basic features of business cycle data we introduce our banking system ...
Adapting macroprudential policies to global liquidity conditions
The global financial crisis that erupted in 2007 has had intellectual repercussions as well as large economic costs. Recent events in the advanced economies especially the capital flow reversals and the looming banking sector crises in Europe have shaken the conviction that traditional yardsticks of ...
Captial controls and foreign exchange policy
The question of whether capital controls should be part of the tool box for policymakers to deal with capital flows has become one of the central issues in the international economic policy debate. It was one of the key policy issues in the G20 under the French Presidency in 2011 and it has been covered ...
Commodity prices fluctuations and monetary policy in small open ecomomies
Increased volatility in the world prices of commodities such as oil and food which are basic imports for many countries has rekindled interest on the question of how monetary policy should best adjust to external commodity price movements. Recent studies have analyzed the issue in the New Keynesian ...
A decade of debt
Public debts in the advanced economies have surged in recent years to levels that have not been recorded since the end of World War II. Through 2010 the average public debt/GDP ratio for all the advanced economies has surpassed the pre-World War II peaks reached during the World War I and subsequently ...