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Mostrando ítems 11-17 de 17
A sticky-information general equilibrium model for policy analysis
Following on Keynes’s desire that economists be as useful as dentists, Lucas (1980) argues that this would amount to the following: “Our task, as I see it, is to write a FORTRAN program that will accept specific economic policy rules as ‘input’ and will generate as ‘output’ statistics describing the ...
Overoptimism boom-bust cycles and monetary policy in small open economies
In the 1990s several emerging market economies such as Chile Mexico and a number of southeast Asian countries displayed episodes of peaking growth rates combined with increasing current account deficits and appreciating currencies which ended with abrupt reversions in capital flows and recessions. In ...
Monetary policy and key unobservables: evidence from large industrial and selected inflation-targeting countries
In recent years, the design of monetary policy has focused on gaps—the output gap, the interest rate gap, and the unemployment rate gap have all played a role in policy discussions. Standard models used for policy analysis are either specified in terms of such gaps or imply important roles for these ...
Macroeconomic and monetary policies from the eductive viewpoint
The quality of the coordination of expectations, a key issue for monetary policy, obtains from different, but interrelated, channels: both the credibility of the central bank intervention and the ability of decentralized agents to coordinate on a dynamical equilibrium matter. For both purposes, it is ...
Shocks de oferta persistentes: ¿un dolor de cabeza para los bancos centrales?
pensaba cuando se iniciaron y llevaron la tasa de inflación a niveles muy superiores a la meta establecida por el Banco Central En este contexto, el objetivo de este artículo es analizar y cuantificar las implicaciones de shocks de oferta más persistentes...
Riesgo de crédito de la banca de consumo
Siguiendo a Jara y Oda (2007), consideramos un grupo de bancos Chilenos especializados en créditos de consumo. Tomando la dinámica del grupo agregado, proponemos un modelo de riesgo de crédito basado en el gasto en provisiones. Utilizando relaciones contables, mostramos que el modelo es dinámico y ...
Evolución de los precios de viviendas en Chile
La disponibilidad de información relacionada con precios de vivienda está claramente limitada en Chile, lo que hace más compleja la discusión de la posible vulnerabilidad de los hogares y el sector financiero a los riesgos derivados de los mercados inmobiliarios. Este trabajo propone un conjunto de ...