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Estimating monetary policy rules for South Africa
Monetary policy in South Africa's emerging market economy, given capital account liberalization and severe constraints on fiscal policy, has the major responsability for curbing inflation and currency instability while trying to ensure sufficient growth for longer-term political stability and the ...
New frontiers for menetary policy in Chile
Inflation targeting can be broadly defined as a framework for the conduct of MONETARY POLICY in which the central bank guides its instruments in order to hold inflation near a preannounced target or to bring back to the target. Although understanding the framework is straightfoward, its practical ...
The macroeconomic conseguences of wage indexation revisited
Since the mid-1970s, the macroeconomic consequences of wage indexation has been the subject of considerable research. Starting with an enthusiastic proposal for indexation by Friedman (1974) and two influential papers by Gray (1976) and Fischer (1977), the academic literature has examined the effects ...
The effect of uncertainty on monetary policy: how good are the brakes?
In most industrial countries, official interest rate changes tend to be 'smooth'. That is, rates are adjusted relatively infrequently and is small steps. Yet the path of interest rates that emerges as optimal from macroeconomic models is, in general, considerably more volatile. So are the paths of ...
Optimal monetary policy rules when the current account matters
Policymarkers and the academic community have reached an increasing consensus during the last two decades: the primary objective of monetary policy should be to control inflation (see, for example, King, 1999). A less settled issue is the appropriate role of the central bank regarding other, secondary ...
A decadeof inflation targeting in Chile: developments, lessons, and challenges
In the twentieth century, Chile experienced most monetary and exchange rate regimes. Periods of fixed exchange rates usually ended in speculative attacks as a result of inconsistent policies or significant external shocks, generating serious real costs and larger exchange rate volatility.
Medición de la política monetaria y el traspaso (pass-through) en Chile
Primero, este trabajo presenta una revisión de los principales estudios con VAR monetarios en Chile y en el mundo para medir la política monetaria y el traspaso del tipo de cambio a precios (pass-through). Segundo, se estiman tres VAR estructurales con restricciones de corto plazo y un VEC con ...
Monetary policy rules and transmission mechanisms under inflation targeting in Israel
Disinflation in Israel has been a relatively slow process. It took more than a decade for the annual rate of inflation to fall from about 18 percent in the late 1980s to less than 4 percent in the late 1990s. For 2000 and 2001 the government has set an inflation target range of 3 to percent. Whether ...
Optimal monetary policy rules under inflation range targeting
Central banks resort to a variety of alternative arrangements in formulating, conducting, and communicating monetary policy. One increasingly popular type of arrangement is based on a target range for inflation. In this setup the conduct of monetary policy is oriented to keeping inflation withing ...
Estimación de brecha y tendencia para la economía Chilena
Los componentes de tendencia y de brecha del PIB constituyen piezas claves para la evaluación y proyección de modelos estándares de política monetaria. Sin embargo, la medición de estas variables está plagada de dificultades. En este trabajo se proponen dos enfoques diferentes. El primero consiste en ...
Política monetaria y mecanismos de transmisión: nuevos elementos para una vieja discusión
El presente trabajo comienza revisando la literatura existente sobre transmisión monetaria, con especial atención en la evidencia disponible para Chile. Luego aborda dos temas que no han recibido la debida atención en estudios previos, como son i) la evolución del impacto de la política monetaria sobre ...
Policy biases when the monetary and fiscal authorities have different objectives
Until recently, the debate on the relationship between monetary and fiscal authorities centered on the inflationary consequences of mentary financing of the fiscal deficit. The moderately high inflation of the 1970s in some industrialized countries and, particularly, the recurring episodes of very ...
Enfrentando la vulnerabilidad externa de Chile: un problema financiero
Con los desequilibrios macroeconómicos tradicionales hace tiempo bajo control, el ciclo económico Chileno es determinado principalmente por shocks externos. Más importante aún, la vulnerabilidad externa de Chile es básicamente un problema financiero. Es así como un deterioro en los términos de intercambio ...
Does inflation targeting make a difference?
Inflation targeting is the new kid on the block of monetary regimes. Since New Zealand and Chile first adopted the regime in 1990, a growing number of industrial and developing countries have followed suit, anchoring their monetary policy to explicit targets for inflation.
Inflation targeting in the context of IMF-Supported adjustment programs
For the last few years, the staff of the Iternational Monetary Fund (IMF) has been engaged in assessing the functioning and effectiveness of inflation targeting in IMF member countries that have adopted this scheme as their monetary policy anchor. This involvement was restricted to the IMF's surveillance ...
Optimal monetary policy in a small, open economy: a general-equilibrium analysis
The two central issues in monetary policy are separated by time horizon. The first relates to the short run: what is the appropriate monetary policy across the business cycle? The second relates to the long run: waht is the optimal long-run rate of inflation? This paper explores these classic issues ...
Monetary policy, interest rate rules, and inflation targeting: some basic equivalences
Monetary policy in small open economies is typically cast as a choice between an exchange rate anchor (fixed or predetermined exchange rates) and a money anchor (floating exchange rates). Under such regimes, the growth rate of the nominal anchor is set according to the desired long-run inflation rate. ...
Policy rules and external shocks
The decade since 1990 has been a period of innovation in monetary policy. Around the world, many countries have adopted inflation targeting as their basic policy framework. Different countries have tried different techniques for achieving inflatio targets, such as different choices of policy instruments.
The monetary policy transmission mechanism and policy rules in Canada
The inflation targeting regime in place in Canada requires a clear understanding of the monetary policy transmission mechanism and a way to exploit knowledge of that mechanism in making policy decisions. This paper describes the Bank of Canada's current undestanding of the monetary policy transmission ...
Alternative monetary rules in the open-economy: a welfare-based approach
How do central banks choose among alternative monetary polocies? In this paper we analyze that question for an open economy following an interest rate rule. Many issues remain controversial in the design of such a rule. If inflation is targeted, as it presumably is, should the domestic interest rate ...