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The nonpuzzling behavior of median inflation
For decades, textbooks have explained inflation behavior with
Friedman (1968)’s Phillips curve: the inflation rate depends on
expected inflation and the deviation of unemployment from its natural
rate. Yet this theory has always been controversial, and skepticism
has been rampant in the decade ...
The supply-side origins of U.S. inflation
In recent years, we have not seen much of a negative correlation
between inflation, the time series plotted in figure 1, and measures of
resource slack, based on real GDP plotted in figure 2. This flattening
of the Phillips curve in many countries across the world has startled
monetary policymakers. ...
Global drivers and macroeconomic volatility in EMEs: a dynamic-factor, general-equilibrium perspective
A common view held by academics as well as policymakers assigns an important role to global factors as drivers of fluctuations in economic activity in emerging market economies (EMEs). This follows naturally from the fact that these economies are often small and open to trade in global goods and capital ...
Memoria Anual Integrada 2022
El año 2022 fue complejo para el Banco Central porque su meta de inflación de 3% se vio absolutamente sobrepasada, lo que obligó a nuestra institución a tomar drásticas decisiones de política monetaria, como parte de un ciclo de alzas que ya había comenzado el año anterior.
Entre enero y octubre, la ...
Integrated Annual Report 2021
The Central Bank faced multiple challenges in 2021, especially due to the consequences of the worst period of the pandemic, which continued to affect the normal functioning of the economy. The persistence of the health crisis substantially changed the ways in which people, institutions, and the financial ...
Comfort in floating: taking stock of twenty years of freely floating exchange rate in Chile
Chile offers an example of a country that has overcome the fear of floating by reducing balance-sheet mismatches; enhancing financial-market development; and improving monetary, fiscal, and political institutions; while strengthening policy credibility. Under the floating regime, Chile’s economic ...
Memoria anual 2020
El Banco Central de Chile ha publicado su Memoria Integrada 2020, reporte que detalla los principales hitos financieros, medioambientales, de relación con la comunidad, con sus trabajadores y el aporte que la institución hace al país a través del cumplimiento de su mandato legal, con el foco puesto ...
Memoria Anual Integrada 2021
El año 2021 abrió con múltiples desafíos para el Banco Central, especialmente por las consecuencias del periodo más duro de la pandemia, que continuó alterando el funcionamiento normal de la economía. La crisis sanitaria y su persistencia modificaron sustancialmente las formas de relacionamiento entre ...
Integrated annual report 2022
This was a complex year for the Central Bank. Inflation vastly exceeded our 3% target, which forced our institution to make drastic monetary policy decisions, as part of a cycle of rate increases that began the previous year.
Between January and October, the monetary policy rate (MPR) rose from 4.0% ...