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Trade with asymmetric information
Events in financial markets before and during the crisis of late 2008 have stimulated renewed interest in modeling trade with asymmetric information. Robert Shimer’s contribution to this volume joins the literature focusing on trade in securities that are claims on mortgages where issuers of the ...
Managing sudden stops
Sudden stops are when capital inflows dry up abruptly. The banker’s aphorism—'It’s not speed that kills but the sudden stop'— has been popularly invoked since at least the Mexican crisis in 1994. Awareness then rose with impetus from the Argentine crisis (1995) the Asian crisis (1997) the Russian ...
Recessions and financial disruptions in emerging markets: a bird's eye view
The global financial crisis of 2008–09 led to massive interruptions in cross-border financial and trade flows. As a result of the crisis virtually all of the advanced economies and many emerging market countries experienced recessions over the past two years. These recessions coincided with various ...
Pegs downward wage rigidity and unemployment: the role of financial structure
A characteristic of the current crisis in Europe is that countries in its periphery have found themselves increasingly cut off from international financial markets. In the present study we ask how such changes in the financial structure influence the welfare consequences of maintaining a fixed exchange ...
Asset bubbles and sudden stops in a small open economy
One of the most striking features of the world economy over the last twenty-five years has been the sharp decline in the real interest rate from approximately 4% in the early 1990s to -1.5% in 2013 (figure 1). During this period there have been two waves of large capital inflows into emerging economies ...
Corporate saving in global rebalancing
The increase in global imbalances in the last decade posed a theoretical challenge for international macroeconomics. Why did some less developed countries with a higher need for capital like China lend to richer countries? The inconsistency of standard dynamic open-economy models with actual global ...
Global imbalances and external adjustment after the crisis
Over five years have passed since the most intense phase of the global financial crisis. As has been widely documented the pre-crisis period was characterized by increased dispersion in current account deficits and surpluses facilitated by a benign global financial environment characterized by low ...
¿Tienen los terremotos un impacto inflacionario en el corto plazo? evidencia para una muestra de países
Aun cuando los desastres naturales son eventos de baja frecuencia, su impacto económico puede ser considerable, lo que hace importante su estudio y análisis. En este sentido, Barro (2006, 2009) destaca que las catástrofes económicas de baja frecuencia, como son las crisis financieras y los desastres ...
Sobre el nivel de reservas internacionales de Chile: análisis a partir de enfoques complementarios
Este artículo analiza la evolución y el nivel de reservas internacionales de Chile a partir de metodologías complementarias. En primer lugar, construimos diversos indicadores de reservas internacionales sugeridos por la literatura para un conjunto de países avanzados y emergentes. Segundo, estimamos ...
La crisis financiera global y contagio a mercados emergentes
Estudiamos el efecto de los vínculos entre bancos en el contagio de los ciclos productivos con un enfoque específico en la propagación de la crisis de 2007-2009 desde los países avanzados hacia los emergentes. En una muestra de pares de países compuesta de 17 economías avanzadas y 11 emergentes entre ...