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Proyección de la inflación en Chile: una visión sectorial
Exploramos las ventajas de usar curvas de Phillips en la proyección de la inflación. Para ello, usamos especificaciones convencionales y flexibles que ajustan los datos de cuatro definiciones de inflación: total, subyacente (sin alimentos y energía, SAE) y una partición de esta última en SAE bienes y ...
Evidencia microeconómica de rigideces nominales de salarios en Chile
Este documento presenta nueva evidencia sobre la frecuencia de ajuste de los salarios en Chile y sus determinantes. Los datos utilizados provienen de una base de datos construida a partir de información recolectada por la Asociación Chilena de Seguridad (AChS). La base se compone de un panel de 429 ...
Asset bubbles and sudden stops in a small open economy
One of the most striking features of the world economy over the last twenty-five years has been the sharp decline in the real interest rate from approximately 4% in the early 1990s to -1.5% in 2013 (figure 1). During this period there have been two waves of large capital inflows into emerging economies ...
Chile’s fiscal rule as social insurance
Well before the Great Recession of 2009 put fiscal policy debates in the front burner commodity-exporting countries had to deal with important fiscal policy dilemmas stemming from revenue volatility and eventual depletion. Chilean policymakers have been at the forefront in this area since adopting a ...
Central banks going long
Long-term interest rates have for long played an ambiguous role in the operation of monetary policy. The Federal Reserve Act of 1913 that created the Federal Reserve set the monetary policy objective to be: '... to promote effectively the goals of maximum employment stable prices and moderate long-term ...
Competition and stability in banking
Banking went from being one of the most regulated sectors in the economy after the crisis in the 1930s to a more lightly regulated sector with the liberalization process that started in the 1970s in the United States. The previous period was marked by few crises with much more instability in the second ...
Riding the roller coaster: fiscal policies of nonrenewable resource exporters in Latin America and the Caribbean
In the last decade the prices of nonrenewable resources which constitute a critical source of fiscal revenue in many Latin American and Caribbean countries recorded sharp swings correlated with economic growth developments in the world and in the region. Similar episodes in the past led to boom and ...
The effects of U.S. monetary policy on emerging market economies’ sovereign and corporate bond markets
The global environment for emerging market economy (EME) bond markets has changed dramatically over the past few decades. Local currency bond markets (LCBMs) have developed especially in EMEs with low inflation stronger institutions and well defined creditor rights (see Burger and Warnock 2003 2006 ...
Estimación de la estructura de tasas nominales de Chile: aplicación del modelo dinámico nelson-siegel
En este artículo se propone una versión discreta y dinámica del modelo de Nelson y Siegel para la estimación de la estructura de tasas de interés, la que se obtiene asumiendo como válida la Hipótesis de Expectativas en Logaritmo, además de una modelación explícita para la dinámica de los factores del ...
Monetary policy in Chile: institutions objectives and instruments
Inflation seemed to be an endemic disease of the Chilean economy for most of the 20th century with its presence being felt even before the creation of the Central Bank in 1925. However things seemed to change drastically in the mid 1990s when the country began to experience a sustained process of ...