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Optimal monetary policy under uncertainty in DSGE models: a markov jump-linear-quadratic approach
Our previous work develops methods to study optimal policy in Markov jump-linear-quadratic (MJLQ) models with forward-looking variables: models with conditionally linear dynamics and conditionally quadratic preferences, where the matrices in both preferences and dynamics are random (Svensson and ...
Trade exposure and the evolution of inflation dynamics
The Phillips curve—the relationship between price inflation
and fluctuations in economic activity— is a central building block
of economic models that allow for nominal rigidities and are relied
upon by central banks around the world to gauge cyclical inflationary
pressures and forecast inflation. ...
Distress dependence and financial stability
The proper estimation of distress dependence amongst the banks in a system is key to monitoring the stability of the banking system. Financial supervisors recognize the importance of assessing not only the risk of distress i.e. large losses and possible defaults by a specific bank but also the impact ...
Economic growth and the Chilean labor market
Este artículo analiza la dinámica del mercado laboral chileno en diferentes períodos de crecimiento económico. La evidencia muestra una marcada sincronía del crecimiento real del PIB con la tasa de desempleo y la creación de empleos. Específicamente, la tasa de desempleo cae y la creación de empleos ...
Commodity prices and macroeconomic policy
The Book Series on “Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies” of the Central Bank of Chile publishes new research on central banking and economics in general, with special emphasis on issues and fields that are relevant to economic policies in developing economies. The volumes are published ...
Financial stability, monetary policy, and Central Banking
The financial developments of the last decade have had a large impact on the range of risk diversification contracts available to investors. Based on these complex instruments, the investment possibility frontier was shifted outward and increasingly intricate networks were created. At the same time, ...
Endogenous exchange-rate pass-through and self-validating exchange rate regimes
A long-standing question in open macroeconomics concerns the choice of currency denomination of nominal prices and contracts. A firm serving the export market may choose to set prices in its domestic currency in the currency of the market of destination or in a vehicle currency possibly indexing these ...
Policy responses to external shocks: the experiences of Australia, Brazil, and Chile
Open economies, particularly emerging markets and commodityintensive economies, deal with large external shocks. These are typically of a financial nature in the case of the former and real—in that they affect the terms of trade—in the case of the latter. Alternative policy reactions and policy setups ...