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Managing sudden stops
Sudden stops are when capital inflows dry up abruptly. The banker’s aphorism—'It’s not speed that kills but the sudden stop'— has been popularly invoked since at least the Mexican crisis in 1994. Awareness then rose with impetus from the Argentine crisis (1995) the Asian crisis (1997) the Russian ...
Sovereign debt, volatility, and insurance
International capital inflows should, in theory, enable emerging market economies to reduce the volatility of private and public consumption in the presence of income volatility, in addition to allowing foreign savings to finance domestic capital accumulation. Access to international financial markets ...
Taxes and the labor market
One of the defining features of the financial crisis of 2008?09 has been its persistent impact on the U.S. labor market with the unemployment rate roughly doubling from early 2008 through mid2010. This has ignited an intense debate on the appropriate stimulus response of fiscal policy. The debate has ...
Labor market distortions, employment and grwth: the recent chilean experience
From 1984 to 1998, the Chilean economy grew at a rate of 5.4 percent per capita, putting it among the world’s most successful economies in the past twenty years. This performance can undoubtedly be attributed to the market-oriented structural reforms that took place in the 1970s, 1980s, and early ...
An anatomy of credit booms and their demise
Episodes in which credit to the private sector rises significantly above its long-run trend (that is 'credit booms') are often associated with periods of economic turbulence. Until recently however efforts at developing methodologies for identifying credit booms and characterizing the economic ...
Optimal inflation stabilization in a medium-scale macroeconomic model
What is the optimal monetary policy, and how can the central bank implement it? Both questions have been extensively studied, but always in the context of simple theoretical structures, which by design are limited in their ability to account for actual observed business cycle fluctuations. This article ...
The macroeconomic conseguences of wage indexation revisited
Since the mid-1970s, the macroeconomic consequences of wage indexation has been the subject of considerable research. Starting with an enthusiastic proposal for indexation by Friedman (1974) and two influential papers by Gray (1976) and Fischer (1977), the academic literature has examined the effects ...
Economía chilena
El objetivo de la revista Economía Chilena es ayudar a la divulgación de resultados de investigación, preferentemente aquella realizada en el Banco Central de Chile sobre la economía chilena o temas de importancia para ella, con significativo contenido empírico y/o de relevancia para la conducción de ...
The link between labor cost inflation and price inflation in the Euro Area
To gauge inflationary pressures, policymakers generally pay close
attention to labor cost developments. A key reason has been the widely
held view that labor cost inflation (i.e., wage inflation adjusted for
productivity developments) is one of the main causes of price inflation.
From a theoretical ...
Non-ricardian aspects of fiscal policy in Chile
In this paper we examine the effects of government spending shocks in the Chilean economy. The study of the effects of such shocks in an emerging market economy is of special interest because of the potential presence of non-Ricardian households that is households that do not own any assets or have ...