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On the determinants of chilean economic growth
If looked at since the mid-1980s, Chile’s economic performance has been fairly impressive compared not only with the rest of Latin America, but also with most of the countries in the world. From a long-run perspective, however, Chile did not display such an outstanding performance in the 1960s and ...
Monetary policy in Chile: a black box?
During the 1990s the Chilean economy gradually cut its inflation rate from figures in the thirties to 4.7 percent in 1998. Central bank authorities have declared that the main objective of monetary policy is to reduce inflation to levels comparableto those in industrial countries. The desgnated ...
A prize worth having: the IMF and price stability
It is always a pleasure to be in Santiago and I am especially pleased to be able to join you at this annual conference which in its nine years has established a high reputation for the quality of the papers and the discussion. This year’s conference is focusing on the subject of inflation targeting. ...
Inflation targeting: an overview
After the emergence of a consensus in the 1980s on the harmful effects of inflation, the last decade of the twentieth century witnessed a market reduction in inflation rates across the world. By the end of the 1980s, empirical evidence collected from large cross-country analyses and numerous case ...
Exchange rate interventions and insurance: is fear of floating a cause for concern?
Fear of floating has recently come to be seen as one of the central de facto characteristics of exchange rate regimes in emerging markets, after first being identified by Calvo and Reinhart (2002). The interpretation of this phenomenon is still open to question. Does the optimal monetary regime for ...
Policy responses to external shocks: the experiences of Australia, Brazil, and Chile
Open economies, particularly emerging markets and commodityintensive economies, deal with large external shocks. These are typically of a financial nature in the case of the former and real—in that they affect the terms of trade—in the case of the latter. Alternative policy reactions and policy setups ...
Optimal monetary policy under uncertainty in DSGE models: a markov jump-linear-quadratic approach
Our previous work develops methods to study optimal policy in Markov jump-linear-quadratic (MJLQ) models with forward-looking variables: models with conditionally linear dynamics and conditionally quadratic preferences, where the matrices in both preferences and dynamics are random (Svensson and ...
Credibility and inflation targeting in Chile
After a long history of high and volatile inflation, the Central Bank of Chile began implementing its monetary policy in the early 1990s by announcing yearly targets for inflation. This new framework was the first step toward a full-fledged inflation-targeting setup, although the Central Bank continued ...
Inflation dynamics in a small open economy model under inflation targeting: some evidence from Chile
Following the influential work of Christiano, Eichenbaum, and Evans (2005) and Smets and Wouters (2003), many central banks are building and estimating dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models with nominal rigidities and are using them for policy analysis. This new generation of sticky ...
Inflation targeting under imperfect knowledge
A central tenet of inflation targeting is that establishing and maintaining well-anchored inflation expectations are essential. Well-anchored expectations enable inflation-targeting central banks to achieve stable output and employment in the short run, while ensuring price stability in the long run. ...