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Inflation targeting under political pressure
and more volatile in countries with a lower quality of political institutions and a higher degree of political instability. By using a narrative approach, Binder (2018) finds that, on average, ten percent of central banks face political pressure...
Fiscal inflation and cosmetic defaults in a small open economy
For a small open economy, maintaining a stable exchange rate and moderate levels of inflation is often a goal of primary importance. At the same time, the profession has recognized the tight link between fiscal and monetary policies in determining...
Changing inflation dynamics, evolving monetary policy
Empirical models have failed to explain inflation behavior over the last 20 years in most developed economies. The unusual inflation dynamics—the ‘missing deflation’ during recessions and the ‘missing inflation’ during recoveries—points to a failure of Phillips curve predictions. Several hypotheses ...
Trend, seasonal, and sectorial inflation in the Euro Area
A central focus of monetary policy is the underlying rate of inflation
that might be expected to prevail over a horizon of one or two years.
Because inflation is estimated from noisy data, the estimation of
this underlying rate of inflation, which we refer to as trend inflation,
requires statistical ...
Indexation, inflation, and monetary policy
Although indexation policies and practices are common in many markets and economies, their implications for market efficiency and price stabilization remain controversial. This book contributes to the literature on indexation and inflation by including nine articles that are at the research frontier ...