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Tales of two recessions in Chile: financial frictions in 1999 and 2009
During 2007-2009 the world underwent a deep economic crisis that has been termed the Great Recession where total output is estimated to have decreased 0.6%. This event has had two salient characteristics: it was a financial shock that originated in advanced economies and in the end most of the economies ...
Capital mobility and monetary policy: an overview
The papers that comprise the different chapters of this volume were presented in the XVII Annual Conference on Central Banking that took place at the Central Bank of Chile Santiago during November 14 and 15 2011. While the global economic environment has changed considerably from the end of 2011 to ...
El carry trade en mercados industrializados y emergentes
Se revisa la evidencia sobre las ganancias asociadas al carry trade, se explora su relación con el dilema de la paridad de intereses descubierta (PID) y con el comportamiento de las primas por riesgo. Se confirman resultados anteriores en cuanto a que el carry trade es rentable y que la PID no se ...
Credit stabilization through public banks: the case of Banco Estado
A novel element in the policy mix that responded to the 2008- 2009 financial crisis was the explicit role given to BancoEstado a publicly-owned commercial bank to alleviate the contraction in domestic credit provided by the banking sector. In order to aid its mission BancoEstado was capitalized by 500 ...
Terms of trade shocks and investment in commodity-exporting economies
Commodity prices have experienced significant swings over the past two decades. Real commodity prices have on average more than doubled in the last decade compared to the previous one while the prices of some commodities such as copper and other industrial metals have more than tripled in real terms. ...
Captial controls and foreign exchange policy
The question of whether capital controls should be part of the tool box for policymakers to deal with capital flows has become one of the central issues in the international economic policy debate. It was one of the key policy issues in the G20 under the French Presidency in 2011 and it has been covered ...
Jobless recoveries during financial crises: is inflation the way out?
The slow rate of employment growth relative to that of output is a sticking point in the recovery from the financial crisis episode that started in 2008 in the U.S. and Europe (a phenomenon labeled 'jobless recovery'). The issue is a particularly burning one in Europe where some observers claim that ...
The leverage cycle default and foreclosure
At least since the time of Irving Fisher economists as well as the general public have regarded the interest rate as the most important variable in the economy. But in times of crisis collateral rates (margins or leverage equivalently) are far more important. Despite the cries of newspapers to lower ...